Since Indonesia entered the rainy season, heavy rainfall has triggered floods, landslides and other natural disasters in many places, causing casualties and damage to public facilities. This coincides with the coffee harvest season, and the affected areas are close to major coffee-producing regions, so whether plantations have been damaged remains to be confirmed. At the same time, Indonesia's coffee production for 2024/25 is expected to be revised downward, exports are forecast to decline, and combined with a weaker Indonesian rupiah exchange rate and rising fertilizer prices, robusta coffee prices may rise again in the future. This article will review the disaster impact, production data and market trends for coffee lovers' reference. [more…]

Recently, northern Sumatra in Indonesia has experienced continuous heavy rainfall, triggering secondary disasters such as flash floods and landslides in multiple areas of North Sumatra Province, resulting in 20 deaths and multiple injuries so far. This disaster has not only caused severe damage to local infrastructure including houses, schools, and roads, but has also directly affected the Arabica coffee-growing belt in the Lintong region of central Sumatra—the area where the world-renowned Mandheling coffee is produced. Meanwhile, Deli Serdang Regency, an important commodity transport corridor leading to the Medan seaport, has also been damaged by landslides, disrupting import and export operations. As the Arabica harvest season is currently underway, days of heavy rain may cause ripe cherries to drop and yields to decline, with the market generally holding a cautious attitude toward the supply outlook for the new harvest season. [more…]

Colombia's coffee production and exports both achieved double-digit growth in the first 10 months of this year, and the FNC at one point forecast that full-year production could reach 13 million bags. However, the country has recently been hit by extreme weather in many places—heavy rain in the capital Bogotá and surrounding areas triggered floods and landslides, and a volcanic eruption occurred in Antioquia Department, prompting the government to declare a state of disaster. This comes during the coffee tree fruiting period, and excessive rainfall may cause cherries to drop and delay harvesting, thereby affecting output and supply. At the same time, the U.S. C-price coffee futures price has once again surged to 272.03 cents per pound, and market concerns about supply in the new crop season have clearly intensified. [more…]

Since October, Panama has entered its rainy season, but this year, under the influence of Tropical Storm Rafael, torrential rain and strong winds have been unusually severe, triggering multiple landslides and floods, with Chiriquí Province and other areas hit hard. Boquete, the core production area for Panama's specialty coffee, has not been spared either, with roads damaged, water supplies cut off, and coffee transportation blocked. Even more concerning is that the coffee harvest season is approaching in December, and continued heavy rain could damage coffee trees that are currently bearing fruit, further affecting quality and yield. This article will review the progress of the disaster and its potential impact on the coffee industry. [more…]

A severe landslide occurred in the Gofa Zone of southern Ethiopia on the evening of July 21 local time. As of now, 229 deaths have been confirmed, and the casualty toll is feared to rise further. The disaster was triggered by persistent heavy rainfall, and a secondary landslide buried rescue workers. Of particular concern to coffee lovers is that the affected area covers important coffee-producing regions such as Kaffa, Jimma, and Yirgacheffe, where torrential rain and geological disasters are directly threatening the coffee-growing environment and infrastructure. At the same time, the conflict in the north and the impact of the Red Sea crisis on the port of Djibouti have plunged Ethiopia's coffee industry into multiple difficulties. Front Street Coffee will continue to follow the developments and their potential impact on the coffee supply chain. [more…]

Affected by the El Niño phenomenon, Colombia has been in a state of natural disaster since the beginning of this year. The drought, which persisted until April, caused the average water storage level of reservoirs nationwide to drop to 29.96% of normal, approaching the critical threshold of 27%, impacting both water supply and power generation. Although the country is rich in freshwater resources, problems such as low agricultural water use efficiency and serious pipeline leakage are prominent, with 70% of the nation's water resources used for crops such as coffee, bananas, and flowers. The capital, Bogotá, has already implemented water restrictions, and the government has not ruled out nationwide water rationing. Fortunately, the rainy season is expected to arrive in mid-to-late April, but coffee industry insiders warn that the heavy rainfall and low temperatures brought by the subsequent La Niña may affect coffee growth, and coffee farmers need to respond in advance. [more…]

Recently, the Oceanian nation of Papua New Guinea has been hit by a series of severe natural disasters. A massive landslide occurred in the early hours of the 24th in the Mulitaka area of Enga Province in the north, burying more than 2,000 people, with the death toll now exceeding 670. Months of heavy rainfall that loosened the soil was the main cause of the disaster. The disaster area, Mount Enga, is adjacent to the Western Highlands Province, Papua New Guinea's core coffee-producing region, where coffee is mostly grown in the Waghi Valley. As the coffee harvest season is currently underway, emergency evacuations have left the coffee cherries unpicked, and production is certain to be affected. At least 15 landslides had already occurred in the country previously, and the coffee-producing region of Chimbu Province in the central region was also affected. Several countries have dispatched rescue teams to assist with search and rescue efforts. [more…]

A landslide occurred recently in the Konta district of southwestern Ethiopia, killing at least six people. The area is adjacent to important coffee-producing regions such as Jimma and Kaffa. Since the start of this year, the locality has repeatedly suffered similar disasters, with about 300 people killed between July and September. Persistent heavy rainfall not only threatens public safety but also delays coffee harvesting, obstructs transportation, and puts pressure on output. At the same time, the regional security situation, exchange rate fluctuations, rising fertilizer costs, and the drought risk that La Niña may bring all make the outlook for Ethiopia's coffee industry full of uncertainty. However, the delay of the EU's EUDR and the decline in coffee prices, as well as the lowering of the minimum export floor price, also bring a glimmer of good news for exports. [more…]

Although El Niño is expected to wrap up in April, its impact on global coffee-producing regions is far from over. Several countries in East Africa are being battered by both torrential rains and floods, with Kenya suffering especially devastating losses—at least 289 people have died and more than 280,000 have been forced to flee their homes. Worryingly, the hardest-hit areas happen to cover Kenya's main coffee-producing regions such as Nyeri, Nakuru, and Kiambu. With the critical flowering and fruiting stage now underway, this natural disaster has all but sealed the fate of a reduced harvest next season. Faced with the prospect of total crop failure, the Kenyan government has urgently allocated 4 billion shillings, while the International Finance Corporation, together with Absa Group, has injected US$60 million into coffee trading giant Volcafe in an effort to stabilize the East African coffee supply chain. Front Street Coffee will also continue to follow developments in the producing regions and bring coffee lovers the latest news. [more…]

Recently, multiple East African countries have been hit by prolonged heavy rainfall and flooding, affecting major coffee-producing nations such as Ethiopia, Kenya, and Tanzania. Floods have destroyed farmland, roads, and homes, and coffee trees in their growing period face serious threats. Among them, the damage in Ethiopia's well-known Sidama region and Kenya's central producing areas is particularly concerning. At the same time, the Ethiopian government has announced the launch of its first special economic zone and signed an agreement with a Chinese company to cooperate on building the Lemi Free Trade Zone, focusing on areas such as coffee processing. This article will review the specific impact of this disaster on Africa's coffee industry and its subsequent trajectory. [more…]

Recently, Brazil's coffee exports have shown strong performance, but extreme weather and a dengue fever outbreak are casting a shadow over the upcoming crop season. In Minas Gerais, the main Arabica-producing region, rainfall has been only 16% of the historical average, and drought is threatening production. Meanwhile, dengue fever cases have surged past 1.8 million, with multiple coffee-growing regions entering a health emergency, which could lead to a shortage of harvest labor. In addition, the probability of La Niña has risen to 62%, potentially bringing frost disasters. Although coffee sales for the 2023/24 season are progressing well, pre-sales for the 2024/25 season are slow, at only 11%, far below the same period last year. Coffee farmers are strongly reluctant to sell, and the market's wait-and-see atmosphere has intensified. Front Street Coffee reminds enthusiasts to pay attention to developments in the producing regions and to view price fluctuations rationally. [more…]

The Guatemalan National Coffee Association (Anacafé) recently released a redrawn coffee map showing that the country's coffee-growing area has expanded, and the structure of large, medium, and smallholder farmers has become clearer. However, the increase in area has not led to higher yields, and smallholders still face challenges such as high fertilizer costs, labor shortages, and inadequate processing facilities. At the same time, the price gap between specialty coffee and commercial coffee continues to narrow, and the upcoming rainy season may be unusually severe due to the influence of La Niña. Anacafé is supporting coffee farmers through extension services and sustainable profitability programs. Front Street Coffee continues to follow developments and flavor performance in Guatemalan producing regions. [more…]

Latest data from the National Federation of Coffee Growers of Colombia (FNC) shows that Colombia's coffee production reached 1.12 million bags in May, a year-on-year increase of 38.9%, an impressive performance. In the same period of 2023, production was dragged down by La Niña, while the drought impact brought by El Niño in the first half of this year was relatively limited. In addition, the arrival of the rainy season in May alleviated the drought, allowing production to recover. On the export side, exports in April were 792,000 bags, a year-on-year increase of 9.5%. However, domestic coffee prices fell 4% month-on-month, mainly affected by the decline in New York futures contract prices as well as lower exchange rates and differentials. In addition, the FNC is holding the ninth "Colombia Diversity" coffee quality competition, aiming to enhance the international influence of Colombian coffee. [more…]

Colombia's coffee industry has recently received a series of positive signals. Starbucks, in collaboration with the Colombian Coffee Growers Federation (FNC), has distributed 55.7 million disease-resistant coffee seedlings to local farmers, reaching over 17,000 growers across 17 departments. After the effects of El Niño and drought, the arrival of the rainy season in October has led to a gradual recovery in production. The FNC estimates that production for the 2023/24 year will reach 12.8 million bags, while the USDA FAS forecasts that the 2024/25 year could reach 12.9 million bags. However, factors such as severe weather in Brazil and logistics delays have driven Arabica prices to a 47-year high, and the market expects prices to remain elevated in 2025. [more…]

Several states in southern Brazil have recently been hit by severe storms and heavy rain, with São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro states particularly hard hit, causing casualties and widespread power outages. This coincides with the flowering season for Brazilian coffee trees, and excessive rainfall and flooding could wash out farmland and knock coffee flowers off the trees, threatening production for the new season. At the same time, disrupted rainfall patterns in Minas Gerais are making the planting situation even more severe. The storms have also affected logistics and transportation, worsening ship delays at ports. The market is worried that a reduction in Brazilian coffee production will persist, and prices may remain high or even rise further. This article will review the impact of the disaster and the subsequent trajectory of the coffee industry. [more…]

A recent Indonesian coffee industry report released by the U.S. Department of Agriculture shows that Indonesia's coffee production in 2024/25 is expected to recover to 10.9 million bags, of which Robusta is projected to reach 9.5 million bags. However, the reality is not so optimistic: since the beginning of this year, Indonesia has frequently suffered natural disasters such as floods, landslides, and volcanic eruptions, and Sumatra's Robusta exports in May plunged 54% year-on-year. With the aftermath of El Niño still lingering and the threat of La Niña approaching, coupled with rising domestic consumption and exporters holding back sales, the supply outlook for Indonesian Robusta is full of uncertainties. This article will review production, exports, climate, and market dynamics, and include relevant recommendations from Front Street Coffee. [more…]

Yunnan, as China's largest coffee-growing province, contributes over 98% of the country's coffee production. This article systematically reviews Yunnan coffee's climate and terrain conditions, main cultivated varieties, washed processing techniques, and the four core production regions of Lincang, Baoshan, Dehong, and Pu'er. Combined with Front Street Coffee's cupping experience, it analyzes the balanced flavor profile of Yunnan small-bean coffee, characterized primarily by nuts, brown sugar, and cream. The article also introduces the Yunnan single-origin coffee beans launched by Starbucks, and discusses the real challenges facing Yunnan's coffee industry, such as limited variety diversification and low added value, as well as future directions for specialty coffee development. [more…]

Central and southern Brazil recently experienced heavy rainfall, with southern Mato Grosso and São Paulo state severely affected, impacting both transportation and power supply. Meanwhile, rainfall in Minas Gerais remains below the historical average, and the worst drought and wildfires in nearly 70 years have already caused deep damage to coffee cultivation. Although concentrated flowering occurred in October, whether the flowers will develop into fruit remains to be seen in December. Multiple institutions expect coffee production in the most severely affected areas to decline by 20% to 30%, with the potential of both the 2024/25 and 2025/26 crop years affected. [more…]

Jamaican Blue Mountain coffee has long been regarded as a treasure of the coffee world, winning the favor of countless enthusiasts with its scarce production and outstanding flavor. However, Jamaica's main coffee-growing regions have recently suffered multiple blows including heavy rains and earthquakes, with frequent mudslides and landslides, causing the new season's coffee bean production to be expected to decline by about 25% compared with the same period last year. Facing this severe situation, the Jamaican government has announced that it will invest billions of dollars to launch a crop recovery and establishment plan, aiming to revive the production of Blue Mountain and High Mountain coffee varieties within five years, benefiting more than 5,000 coffee growers. This article will sort out the causes of this production reduction, its impact, and the specific contents of the official revival measures. [more…]

In recent years, Colombian coffee has performed increasingly well in the Chinese market. According to the country's media, China is expected to become Colombia's sixth-largest coffee export destination by the end of the year, and may even rise to second place in the future. In 2019, China ranked only 18th, but by 2023 it had jumped to sixth, with exports reaching 540,000 bags. At the same time, Colombia's coffee industry is gradually recovering from consecutive production declines, with output in the 2023/24 season expected to grow by 15%, though challenges such as drought, wildfires, and armed conflict remain. This article will review the latest export data, market prospects, and industry conditions, and include relevant recommendations from Front Street Coffee. [more…]