Monday, September 21 2026

Heavy Rain in Southern Brazil Devastates São Paulo Coffee Region, Flooding Threatens New Crop Yield During Flowering Season

Several states in southern Brazil have recently been hit by severe storms and heavy rain, with São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro states particularly hard hit, causing casualties and widespread power outages. This coincides with the flowering season for Brazilian coffee trees, and excessive rainfall and flooding could wash out farmland and knock coffee flowers off the trees, threatening production for the new season. At the same time, disrupted rainfall patterns in Minas Gerais are making the planting situation even more severe. The storms have also affected logistics and transportation, worsening ship delays at ports. The market is worried that a reduction in Brazilian coffee production will persist, and prices may remain high or even rise further. This article will review the impact of the disaster and the subsequent trajectory of the coffee industry. [more…]

Heavy Rain in Southern Brazil Impacts Coffee Regions, Local Production May Drop by Up to 30%

Central and southern Brazil recently experienced heavy rainfall, with southern Mato Grosso and São Paulo state severely affected, impacting both transportation and power supply. Meanwhile, rainfall in Minas Gerais remains below the historical average, and the worst drought and wildfires in nearly 70 years have already caused deep damage to coffee cultivation. Although concentrated flowering occurred in October, whether the flowers will develop into fruit remains to be seen in December. Multiple institutions expect coffee production in the most severely affected areas to decline by 20% to 30%, with the potential of both the 2024/25 and 2025/26 crop years affected. [more…]

Climate change hits Costa Rica's coffee industry: drought causes production decline, export and employment face chain pressure

Costa Rica has long ranked among the world's leading coffee producers and exporters, thanks to its volcanic soil, mild climate, and abundant rainfall. In recent years, however, persistent high temperatures and drought have been eroding its growing environment. In the Desamparados canton, a key production area in the Central Valley, some estates have seen yields fall by as much as 15%, and production for the 2024/25 harvest season is expected to drop 18% from the previous season. With water shortages during the flowering period, greater susceptibility to disease, aging trees, and labor shortages piling up, export volumes and foreign exchange earnings are coming under pressure. Faced with these challenges, the government has launched a low-carbon coffee program, while research institutions are promoting drought-resistant varieties and adaptive farming methods in an effort to cushion the impact of climate change. [more…]

Growing Coffee Trees in Pots at Home: A Complete Guide to Cultivation and Care from Seed Treatment to Flowering and Fruiting

Want to grow a coffee tree with your own hands at home? Actually, growing coffee in a pot is entirely feasible. This article compiles the hands-on experience of a flower enthusiast in Beijing, covering everything from seed collection, scarification treatment, sowing and sprouting, to transplanting into pots, soil mix ratios, watering and fertilizing, lighting and repotting, and finally flowering, fruiting, and daily precautions. Whether you live in the north or the south, as long as you master a few key steps, you can let a coffee tree grow healthily in a pot. The article also specifically mentions product information from Front Street Coffee for those who are interested. [more…]

Drought and Coffee Berry Borer Deal a Double Blow, Honduras Coffee Production Under Pressure in the New Crop Season

The Honduran coffee industry is facing severe challenges. According to Napoleón Matute, manager of the country's coffee institute (IHCAFE), the drought triggered by El Niño has caused nationwide rainfall to plunge by 40 percent compared with the same period last year, seriously threatening the coffee flowering period and hindering fruit development. At the same time, the coffee berry borer is spreading unchecked across plantations. This pest, reputed to be the most destructive coffee pest in the world, bores into the fruit, reducing both yield and quality. Under the combined effect of drought and pest infestation, Honduran coffee may suffer a double blow in the next harvest season. Matute called on growers to strengthen crop monitoring, and IHCAFE will continue to track the disaster. Although the extent of the yield reduction has not yet been quantified, the losses are expected to be considerable. [more…]

The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is unusually active, and coffee-producing regions in Central America face dual pressures of reduced yields and exports.

The latest report from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) shows that the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season activity could reach three times the usual level, with an 85% probability of being stronger than normal years. Warm ocean waters, reduced wind shear, and the transition from El Niño to La Niña will combine to spawn more and stronger storms. Multiple coffee-producing countries along the Gulf of Mexico, the Caribbean Sea, and the Atlantic coast—including Mexico, Cuba, Jamaica, Honduras, Nicaragua, Guatemala, and Costa Rica—may all be affected. The strong winds and heavy rain brought by hurricanes not only threaten coffee flowering and harvesting, but may also disrupt shipping, drive up transportation costs, and exacerbate coffee price fluctuations. This article reviews the hurricane season forecast data, the affected producing regions, and the potential impact on the coffee industry, for the reference of coffee enthusiasts. [more…]

The Atlantic hurricane season is unusually active, and coffee-producing regions in Central America face a dual test of output and exports.

The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season was predicted by NOAA to be "extraordinary," with risk reaching up to three times the usual level. The first hurricane of the season, Beryl, intensified to Category 5 in July, devastating the Caribbean region, with the coffee industries of Jamaica, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, and other areas facing direct threats. Although Mexico's main coffee-producing regions are located in the south and the hurricane's path skewed northward, infrastructure damage and shipping disruptions could still indirectly affect the entire Central American coffee supply chain. Looking back at the devastation caused by Eta and Iota in 2020, the impact of hurricane season on the coffee flowering and harvest periods is especially lethal and may further exacerbate fluctuations in international coffee prices. [more…]

Honduras Ravaged by Wildfires and Extreme Weather, Coffee Industry Faces Risk of Reduced Production

Since 2024, multiple Latin American countries have experienced historic high temperatures and droughts. Honduras is enduring its hottest and driest year since 1992, with maximum temperatures reaching 38-40°C. A total of 1,903 forest fires have broken out nationwide, destroying over 150,000 hectares of forest. Although the main coffee-producing regions have not yet been directly hit by the wildfires, rainfall has decreased by nearly 40% compared to the same period last year, hampering the growth of coffee plants during their flowering period. More critically, El Niño has not yet subsided, while La Niña is highly likely to arrive, and the threat of hurricane season is imminent. The Honduran Coffee Institute (IHCAFE) has already issued a warning about next season's output. Front Street Coffee will continue to monitor developments in the producing regions and bring first-hand information to enthusiasts. [more…]

Rain returns to Brazilian coffee-growing regions, production outlook improves but price direction remains uncertain

Brazil's coffee-growing regions have finally received effective rainfall, and the long-drought-stricken arabica-producing areas are expected to find relief in the new flowering season in November. However, months of extreme heat and water shortages have already caused substantial damage to production for the 2024/25 and 2025/26 crop years. Water levels in the Amazon basin remain at historic lows, and shipping disruptions are driving up logistics costs. At the same time, the sharp plunge in the real exchange rate, port delays, and the postponement of the EU's EUDR policy, among multiple interwoven factors, have filled the outlook for Brazil's coffee production and prices with uncertainty. This article reviews the latest weather developments, industry impacts, and chain reactions in the market, and includes Front Street Coffee's continued attention to origin information. [more…]

Tropical Storm Carlotta Hits Mexican Coffee-Growing Regions, Adding Further Uncertainty to Production Prospects

Mexico's major western coffee-producing regions were recently hit by Tropical Storm Carlotta, with heavy rainfall, lightning, and hail posing a serious threat to coffee trees in their flowering stage. The states of Colima, Jalisco, Michoacán, and Nayarit produce about 15% of Mexico's coffee output, and roughly 80% of the country's coffee-growing area had already been affected by high temperatures and drought. Industry insiders expect yield losses could reach 50%. After the storm, neighboring states such as Oaxaca and Chiapas also face risks of flooding and landslides. Meanwhile, Mexico is striving to boost its coffee industry, with a production target of 3.89 million bags for the 2024/25 season, but a succession of extreme weather events has cast a shadow over this vision. [more…]

Central Kenya coffee-growing regions hit by persistent heavy rain, with Nyeri, Kiambu and other production areas suffering severe losses, casting a shadow over the next harvest season

Recently, multiple East African countries have been hit by sustained heavy rainfall, with major coffee-producing areas in central Kenya such as Nyeri, Nakuru, and Kiambu suffering severe damage. Floods, mudslides, and other disasters have caused significant casualties and property losses, and as coffee is currently in its flowering and fruiting stage, the next harvest season is expected to be severely affected. Meanwhile, Kenyan coffee auction prices have already hit record highs, and prices may climb further in the future. The Kenyan government has allocated 4 billion shillings for disaster relief. The Chinese Embassy in Kenya has also issued a reminder, calling for attention to weather changes and flood prevention and disease control. Stay tuned to the disaster situation in coffee-producing areas; Front Street Coffee will continue to follow up with reports. [more…]

Turmoil in Colombian coffee regions escalates, yet 2024/25 output is still expected to climb to 12.4 million bags

The latest report from the National Federation of Coffee Growers of Colombia (FNC) shows that the country's coffee production reached 742,000 bags in April, an increase of more than 30% year-on-year, though down from March. Despite favorable weather that helped flowering, coffee farmers still face multiple challenges, including aging trees, frequent pest outbreaks and fluctuations in international prices. At the same time, escalating violence by anti-government armed groups in Cauca province has brought uncertainty to this important producing region. Colombia's coffee production for the 2024/25 season is expected to reach 12.4 million bags, with exports also expected to rebound. This article will analyze key points including production, exports, planting structure and policy support, and will also examine the potential impact of the security situation in producing regions on the coffee industry. [more…]

El Niño Triggers Vietnam's Worst Drought in a Century, Coffee Production Decline Pushes Up Robusta Prices

Affected by El Niño, Vietnam is experiencing its worst drought in nearly a century, and agriculture in the Mekong Delta has been hit hard. As a major global coffee-producing region, Vietnam's robusta coffee is in its flowering season but faces a water shortage crisis, and spot prices have soared to more than double those of the same period last year. At the same time, the planting boom in high-return fruits such as durian and dragon fruit is further squeezing coffee-growing areas. This article will review the specific impact of the drought on Vietnam's coffee industry, current price trends, and the latest progress on China's emergency water replenishment from the Lancang River at Vietnam's request. Friends who like Vietnamese coffee may want to follow Front Street Coffee's upcoming product updates. [more…]

What color are coffee flowers? How long does the flowering period last? And how long does it take from flowering to forming coffee beans?

The blooming of the coffee tree is a sight rarely seen by many coffee lovers. The coffee tree at Front Street Coffee has bloomed once again after a year, and in about two to three months it will bear fruit. What exactly does the coffee flower look like, and what color is it? How long does the flowering period last? How long does it take from the flower fading to growing into coffee beans? This article starts from the botanical classification and aroma characteristics of the coffee flower, extends to the white floral notes in the cup, and analyzes the patterns of floral aroma in roasting and brewing, giving you a complete understanding of this small white flower that closely resembles jasmine. [more…]

Fires in São Paulo State cause agricultural losses of about 1 billion reais, coffee futures prices may rise further

The state of São Paulo, Brazil, recently suffered severe fires, and the Civil Defense Authority warned that almost the entire state remains at high risk. Between August 22 and 24, a total of 2,600 fire points were recorded, with more than 80% concentrated in agricultural land such as sugarcane fields and coffee estates. The Ministry of Agriculture and Supply initially estimates losses at about 1 billion reais, and the actual figure may be higher. The fires burned at least 80,000 hectares of crops, and a large number of bees died, directly affecting coffee pollination and next year's output. At the same time, multiple coffee-producing regions in Brazil have gone more than 120 days without effective rainfall, the outlook for the Arabica flowering season is worrying, Robusta prices have already exceeded US$5,000 per ton, and coffee prices may continue to rise. [more…]

Honduras faces extreme weather and severe air pollution, putting pressure on both coffee production and exports

Honduras, as the largest producer and exporter of washed Arabica coffee in Central America, is currently facing severe environmental challenges. Persistent high temperatures and drought have triggered large-scale forest fires, causing air quality to deteriorate sharply, and an indefinite red alert has been activated in the central region of the capital. Meanwhile, the El Niño phenomenon has delayed the rainy season, with rainfall significantly lower than in previous years. The dual impact of air pollution and drought comes at a critical time for coffee tree growth and flowering, and major producing regions are likely to be severely affected. Export data for the 2023/24 season has already shown a downward trend, and the outlook for Honduras's coffee industry is concerning. [more…]

La Niña Arrives in Succession: Global Coffee Production and Prices Face New Variables

The lingering effects of El Niño in 2023 have not yet subsided, and La Niña may make a comeback in the summer of 2024, leaving global coffee-producing regions caught in a double bind of extreme weather. Drought during Brazil's flowering period, water shortages on Vietnam's highlands, coexisting floods and droughts in Africa, and the threat of hurricanes in Central America—the production outlook for major growing regions is shrouded in uncertainty. At the same time, rising demand for Robusta in European and American markets, combined with reduced output in several producing countries, has already triggered sharp fluctuations in international coffee prices. This article will examine how climate is disrupting the coffee supply chain and analyze the key variables shaping price trends in the second half of the year. [more…]

São Paulo State, Brazil Hit by Strongest Storm Since 1995, Coffee Industry and Multiple Sectors Suffer Losses of 1.65 Billion Reais

Brazil's São Paulo state recently suffered its strongest storm since 1995, with wind speeds reaching 107.6 kilometers per hour, causing at least 7 deaths, power outages for more than 3.1 million residential and commercial users, and cumulative economic losses of 1.65 billion reais. This extreme weather not only severely damaged local power supply and industrial production, but also directly harmed coffee trees that were in the flowering stage of the new crop season, leading to a decline in coffee production. At the same time, Brazil's largest coffee-producing region, Minas Gerais, continues to face the threat of drought and high temperatures. The official agency Conab has lowered its production forecast, with total output decreasing by about 4 million bags compared with the previous year. This article will provide a detailed review of the impact of this disaster on Brazil's coffee industry and related economic sectors. [more…]

El Niño's lingering havoc wreaks havoc in East Africa: Kenya floods kill 289, core coffee-producing regions face crisis of reduced output

Although El Niño is expected to wrap up in April, its impact on global coffee-producing regions is far from over. Several countries in East Africa are being battered by both torrential rains and floods, with Kenya suffering especially devastating losses—at least 289 people have died and more than 280,000 have been forced to flee their homes. Worryingly, the hardest-hit areas happen to cover Kenya's main coffee-producing regions such as Nyeri, Nakuru, and Kiambu. With the critical flowering and fruiting stage now underway, this natural disaster has all but sealed the fate of a reduced harvest next season. Faced with the prospect of total crop failure, the Kenyan government has urgently allocated 4 billion shillings, while the International Finance Corporation, together with Absa Group, has injected US$60 million into coffee trading giant Volcafe in an effort to stabilize the East African coffee supply chain. Front Street Coffee will also continue to follow developments in the producing regions and bring coffee lovers the latest news. [more…]

Vietnam's new coffee crop is expected to fall by 10%, and La Niña may intensify market volatility.

Recently, feedback data from multiple international coffee traders indicates that Vietnam's coffee production for the 2024/25 season is expected to decrease by 10%, potentially hitting its lowest level in nearly a decade. The return of La Niña has further fueled market concerns. As the world's second-largest coffee producer and largest robusta grower, Vietnam experienced its most severe drought in nearly ten years this year, particularly affecting the early flowering stage from March to May, leading to a second consecutive year of reduced output. Although rainfall increased somewhat by the end of May, it was insufficient to offset the damage from the earlier drought, with some coffee trees dying or growing poorly. In addition, Typhoon Yagi and the impending La Niña phenomenon may bring more rainfall, further threatening agricultural output. International robusta coffee futures prices once hit a nearly half-century high due to drought and fires, and recently fell sharply on Brazilian rainfall, but the market still expects prices to continue fluctuating before the end of the year. [more…]