Since Indonesia entered the rainy season, heavy rainfall has triggered floods, landslides and other natural disasters in many places, causing casualties and damage to public facilities. This coincides with the coffee harvest season, and the affected areas are close to major coffee-producing regions, so whether plantations have been damaged remains to be confirmed. At the same time, Indonesia's coffee production for 2024/25 is expected to be revised downward, exports are forecast to decline, and combined with a weaker Indonesian rupiah exchange rate and rising fertilizer prices, robusta coffee prices may rise again in the future. This article will review the disaster impact, production data and market trends for coffee lovers' reference. [more…]

Indonesia has recently been hit by prolonged severe weather, with landslides and floods triggered by heavy rainfall having caused dozens of casualties, and multiple provinces entering a disaster alert status. This natural disaster not only threatens the safety of local residents but also affects the country's coffee industry—major growing regions such as Sumatra, Sulawesi, and Papua are coinciding with the harvest season, and torrential rain will hinder harvest progress and cause cherries to drop, with output expected to decline. Combined with factors such as the depreciation of the Indonesian rupiah and reduced coffee production in Vietnam, international robusta prices are expected to remain high in the short term. [more…]

Recently, multiple East African countries have been hit by sustained heavy rainfall, with major coffee-producing areas in central Kenya such as Nyeri, Nakuru, and Kiambu suffering severe damage. Floods, mudslides, and other disasters have caused significant casualties and property losses, and as coffee is currently in its flowering and fruiting stage, the next harvest season is expected to be severely affected. Meanwhile, Kenyan coffee auction prices have already hit record highs, and prices may climb further in the future. The Kenyan government has allocated 4 billion shillings for disaster relief. The Chinese Embassy in Kenya has also issued a reminder, calling for attention to weather changes and flood prevention and disease control. Stay tuned to the disaster situation in coffee-producing areas; Front Street Coffee will continue to follow up with reports. [more…]

Recently, northern Sumatra in Indonesia has experienced continuous heavy rainfall, triggering secondary disasters such as flash floods and landslides in multiple areas of North Sumatra Province, resulting in 20 deaths and multiple injuries so far. This disaster has not only caused severe damage to local infrastructure including houses, schools, and roads, but has also directly affected the Arabica coffee-growing belt in the Lintong region of central Sumatra—the area where the world-renowned Mandheling coffee is produced. Meanwhile, Deli Serdang Regency, an important commodity transport corridor leading to the Medan seaport, has also been damaged by landslides, disrupting import and export operations. As the Arabica harvest season is currently underway, days of heavy rain may cause ripe cherries to drop and yields to decline, with the market generally holding a cautious attitude toward the supply outlook for the new harvest season. [more…]

In the early hours of July 30, a large-scale landslide was triggered by continuous heavy rainfall in the Wayanad region of Kerala in southwestern India. According to the latest figures, 358 people have died, with many more injured and missing. This region is not only a severely affected mountainous area but also one of India's important coffee-producing regions, primarily growing Robusta. The disaster and subsequent heavy rainfall are likely to have a severe impact on India's coffee production in the new season. Meanwhile, India's coffee export data for the first half of 2024 has performed strongly, and international coffee prices are expected to remain high until the end of the year. This article will review the progress of the disaster, the difficulties in rescue efforts, and its potential impact on India's coffee industry. [more…]

A severe landslide occurred in the Gofa Zone of southern Ethiopia on the evening of July 21 local time. As of now, 229 deaths have been confirmed, and the casualty toll is feared to rise further. The disaster was triggered by persistent heavy rainfall, and a secondary landslide buried rescue workers. Of particular concern to coffee lovers is that the affected area covers important coffee-producing regions such as Kaffa, Jimma, and Yirgacheffe, where torrential rain and geological disasters are directly threatening the coffee-growing environment and infrastructure. At the same time, the conflict in the north and the impact of the Red Sea crisis on the port of Djibouti have plunged Ethiopia's coffee industry into multiple difficulties. Front Street Coffee will continue to follow the developments and their potential impact on the coffee supply chain. [more…]

Recently, several major coffee-producing regions in Indonesia have been hit by natural disasters. A magnitude 5.0 earthquake struck near Bandung in West Java on the island of Java, causing injuries and damage to homes; the Aceh region in northern Sumatra was hit by heavy rain and strong winds, and with the coffee harvest season underway, harvesting work has been disrupted. At the same time, several provinces are also facing ongoing drought, and coffee production may decline further. This article summarizes the disaster situations in various areas and their impact on Indonesia's coffee industry. [more…]

Colombia's coffee production and exports both achieved double-digit growth in the first 10 months of this year, and the FNC at one point forecast that full-year production could reach 13 million bags. However, the country has recently been hit by extreme weather in many places—heavy rain in the capital Bogotá and surrounding areas triggered floods and landslides, and a volcanic eruption occurred in Antioquia Department, prompting the government to declare a state of disaster. This comes during the coffee tree fruiting period, and excessive rainfall may cause cherries to drop and delay harvesting, thereby affecting output and supply. At the same time, the U.S. C-price coffee futures price has once again surged to 272.03 cents per pound, and market concerns about supply in the new crop season have clearly intensified. [more…]

Recently, many parts of Asia have been hit by extreme weather, with Indonesia bearing the brunt. Torrential rain, floods, volcanic eruptions, and landslides have struck one after another, dealing a heavy blow to multiple industries in the country, and the coffee industry has been unable to escape unscathed. After West Java and Sumatra were successively affected, South Sulawesi Province was also hit by heavy rainfall, with severe losses in regencies such as Luwu, Soppeng, and Sidrap, where roads and bridges were destroyed and farmland was flooded. This disaster mainly struck the country's Robusta coffee-producing areas, and as it coincides with the harvest season, industry insiders expect output on some islands to decline by 20%, while the country's total production may be halved. A tightening of Robusta supply could further push up international coffee prices. [more…]

Recently, the Oceanian nation of Papua New Guinea has been hit by a series of severe natural disasters. A massive landslide occurred in the early hours of the 24th in the Mulitaka area of Enga Province in the north, burying more than 2,000 people, with the death toll now exceeding 670. Months of heavy rainfall that loosened the soil was the main cause of the disaster. The disaster area, Mount Enga, is adjacent to the Western Highlands Province, Papua New Guinea's core coffee-producing region, where coffee is mostly grown in the Waghi Valley. As the coffee harvest season is currently underway, emergency evacuations have left the coffee cherries unpicked, and production is certain to be affected. At least 15 landslides had already occurred in the country previously, and the coffee-producing region of Chimbu Province in the central region was also affected. Several countries have dispatched rescue teams to assist with search and rescue efforts. [more…]

Since October, Panama has entered its rainy season, but this year, under the influence of Tropical Storm Rafael, torrential rain and strong winds have been unusually severe, triggering multiple landslides and floods, with Chiriquí Province and other areas hit hard. Boquete, the core production area for Panama's specialty coffee, has not been spared either, with roads damaged, water supplies cut off, and coffee transportation blocked. Even more concerning is that the coffee harvest season is approaching in December, and continued heavy rain could damage coffee trees that are currently bearing fruit, further affecting quality and yield. This article will review the progress of the disaster and its potential impact on the coffee industry. [more…]

Indonesia is a major global coffee producer, with coffee cultivation mainly distributed across islands such as Sumatra, Java, Sulawesi, and Bali. However, the country has recently experienced persistent severe weather, and floods and landslides triggered by heavy rain have dealt a serious blow to multiple coffee-producing regions. The Bandung area on Java Island, the island's largest coffee-producing region, has already seen casualties and extensive housing damage; nine regions in western Sumatra have been especially hard hit, and with Robusta coffee at the pre-fruiting and early harvesting stage, losses have been severe. According to estimates by local producers, output on some islands will fall by 20%, and the country's total production may be halved. At the same time, the Indonesian government has designated coffee as a national priority industry and significantly increased fertilizer subsidies in an attempt to ease the impact of the disaster on agriculture. This article will review the specific effects of the disaster on Indonesia's coffee industry and related policy trends. [more…]

A landslide occurred recently in the Konta district of southwestern Ethiopia, killing at least six people. The area is adjacent to important coffee-producing regions such as Jimma and Kaffa. Since the start of this year, the locality has repeatedly suffered similar disasters, with about 300 people killed between July and September. Persistent heavy rainfall not only threatens public safety but also delays coffee harvesting, obstructs transportation, and puts pressure on output. At the same time, the regional security situation, exchange rate fluctuations, rising fertilizer costs, and the drought risk that La Niña may bring all make the outlook for Ethiopia's coffee industry full of uncertainty. However, the delay of the EU's EUDR and the decline in coffee prices, as well as the lowering of the minimum export floor price, also bring a glimmer of good news for exports. [more…]

Mexico's major western coffee-producing regions were recently hit by Tropical Storm Carlotta, with heavy rainfall, lightning, and hail posing a serious threat to coffee trees in their flowering stage. The states of Colima, Jalisco, Michoacán, and Nayarit produce about 15% of Mexico's coffee output, and roughly 80% of the country's coffee-growing area had already been affected by high temperatures and drought. Industry insiders expect yield losses could reach 50%. After the storm, neighboring states such as Oaxaca and Chiapas also face risks of flooding and landslides. Meanwhile, Mexico is striving to boost its coffee industry, with a production target of 3.89 million bags for the 2024/25 season, but a succession of extreme weather events has cast a shadow over this vision. [more…]

Although El Niño is expected to wrap up in April, its impact on global coffee-producing regions is far from over. Several countries in East Africa are being battered by both torrential rains and floods, with Kenya suffering especially devastating losses—at least 289 people have died and more than 280,000 have been forced to flee their homes. Worryingly, the hardest-hit areas happen to cover Kenya's main coffee-producing regions such as Nyeri, Nakuru, and Kiambu. With the critical flowering and fruiting stage now underway, this natural disaster has all but sealed the fate of a reduced harvest next season. Faced with the prospect of total crop failure, the Kenyan government has urgently allocated 4 billion shillings, while the International Finance Corporation, together with Absa Group, has injected US$60 million into coffee trading giant Volcafe in an effort to stabilize the East African coffee supply chain. Front Street Coffee will also continue to follow developments in the producing regions and bring coffee lovers the latest news. [more…]

Tanzania is located in the eastern part of Africa and has rich natural resources and a unique coffee culture. However, recently, the country of Tanzania has suffered from heavy rainfall and floods, causing casualties and large-scale damage. Local tim [more…]

Central Vietnam was hit by two consecutive tropical storms in September, causing casualties and severe damage to infrastructure. Although the main coffee-growing regions were not directly affected, heavy rainfall has clouded the harvest outlook. More critically, major export hubs such as Haiphong Port and Da Nang were paralyzed by the storms, leaving large numbers of shipping containers backed up and severely disrupting coffee exports. Combined with reduced output caused by drought earlier in the year and steadily climbing domestic spot prices, the supply difficulties facing Vietnam—the world's second-largest coffee producer—are driving up international robusta futures prices. Front Street Coffee continues to monitor developments in the producing regions. [more…]

Central Vietnam experienced strong winds and heavy rain after Typhoon Trami made landfall, damaging dikes, houses, farmland, and transportation and logistics infrastructure—just as the new coffee harvest season was getting underway. Looking back over the year, Vietnam's coffee industry first endured its worst drought in nearly a decade, then was hit by two typhoons in succession, Typhoon Yagi and Typhoon Trami, with the main producing areas in the Central Highlands also experiencing strong winds and heavy rain. Delayed harvesting, blocked roads, and closed ports combined to make new-crop supply even tighter; yet despite lower export volumes, export value hit a record high on rising prices. This article reviews the disaster impact, production and export data, and looks at price trends going forward. [more…]

Several major coffee-producing regions in southeastern Brazil were recently hit by severe storms formed by the collision of strong cold fronts and high temperatures. São Paulo, Minas Gerais, Espírito Santo, and Rio de Janeiro were all affected, with rainfall in some areas exceeding 100 mm per day and wind speeds reaching up to 100 km/h. Together, these regions account for 48% of Brazil's total national coffee output, and as the coffee berries are currently in their fruit-setting stage, the storms and heavy rain caused large numbers of cherries to drop. Industry insiders are calling on coffee farmers to strengthen precautions. At the same time, the heavy rain has caused at least 24 deaths and displaced thousands of people, while the dengue fever outbreak continues to spread, putting pressure on the healthcare system and raising the risk of labor shortages during the harvest period. Front Street Coffee will continue to follow developments in Brazil's producing regions and bring coffee lovers the latest information. [more…]

Recently, multiple East African countries have been hit by prolonged heavy rainfall and flooding, affecting major coffee-producing nations such as Ethiopia, Kenya, and Tanzania. Floods have destroyed farmland, roads, and homes, and coffee trees in their growing period face serious threats. Among them, the damage in Ethiopia's well-known Sidama region and Kenya's central producing areas is particularly concerning. At the same time, the Ethiopian government has announced the launch of its first special economic zone and signed an agreement with a Chinese company to cooperate on building the Lemi Free Trade Zone, focusing on areas such as coffee processing. This article will review the specific impact of this disaster on Africa's coffee industry and its subsequent trajectory. [more…]