Monday, September 21 2026

Uganda's Coffee Exports Rise in Both Volume and Price, China-Africa Cooperation Boosts New Opportunities for Trade with China

Uganda, as an important coffee-producing country in Africa, has recently delivered impressive export results. In the 2023/24 fiscal year, the country's total coffee exports exceeded 6.13 million bags, with export value reaching US$1.144 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 6.33% and 35.29% respectively. This growth has benefited both from rising international coffee prices and from the EU's upcoming deforestation-free regulation and tight supply from Vietnam. At the same time, China-Uganda agricultural cooperation continues to deepen, and the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation is expected to open a broader Chinese market for Ugandan coffee. This article will review the latest data on Uganda's coffee exports, variety performance, and future prospects, and bring relevant recommendations from Front Street Coffee. [more…]

Under drought and durian pressure, Vietnam's coffee production declines, export volume drops by 10% but prices soar

As a major global coffee producer, Vietnam faced a setback of declining export volumes in the first half of 2024. Data shows that coffee export volume fell by 10.5% year-on-year in the first six months to 902,000 tons, but thanks to a 50.4% surge in average export prices, total export value instead climbed to US$3.22 billion, an increase of 34.6%. Behind the production decline are both irreversible damage to coffee trees caused by drought and competitive pressure from cash crops such as durian and passion fruit, with large numbers of farmers switching to more profitable fruit trees, leading to a continued shrinkage of coffee-growing area. Although coffee prices have risen to high levels, they are still not attractive compared with the profits from crops such as durian. At the same time, demand for Vietnamese coffee in the South Korean market is growing, bringing a glimmer of warmth to the export outlook. [more…]

Under the dual impact of climate shocks and market downturn, El Salvador's coffee export volume and value have plummeted, with Chinese demand emerging as a potential bright spot.

Due to a combination of extreme weather, falling coffee futures prices and labor shortages, El Salvador's coffee bean export volume and export value both fell sharply in the first four months of the 2023/24 harvest season. According to a report by the Salvadoran Coffee Institute, export volume fell by nearly 47% year-on-year, export value dropped by more than 50%, and in January alone export value plunged by more than 90%. The United States remains the largest buyer, but Italy, Saudi Arabia and other countries follow closely behind in share. The decline in production is directly related to drought and extreme rainfall caused by the El Niño phenomenon. At the same time, El Salvador's coffee exports to China are on the rise, with 13 trading companies having completed registration in China, and the industry is optimistic about the potential of the Chinese market. Front Street Coffee continues to follow developments in the producing regions and bring frontline news to enthusiasts. [more…]

Honduras coffee export volume rises while prices fall, approval for direct supply to China may become a new growth point

Honduras, as the largest coffee producer in Central America, has recently presented a complex situation of rebounding export volumes but declining revenue. In February 2024, Arabica sales increased by 26% year-on-year, yet export earnings fell by 20% in the first four months of this harvest season. Against the backdrop of traditional buyers being concentrated in seven countries across Europe, the Americas, and Asia, Honduras is actively seeking market diversification. As China allows direct imports of its green coffee beans and more companies obtain certification for exports to China, this Central American country's coffee industry has welcomed new opportunities. The expansion of cafes in Chinese cities and rising demand among young consumers have injected strong momentum into Honduras's coffee exports. [more…]

Ethiopia's October coffee export revenue soared to $155 million, driven by growth in both production and prices

Ethiopia's coffee industry delivered an impressive report card in October: export revenue surged 66% year-on-year to US$155.53 million, with export volumes exceeding 35,000 tonnes. High global coffee prices combined with increased production drove this growth, with cumulative export volumes from July to October rising 71% year-on-year. However, the ongoing conflict in Amhara State and disruptions to Red Sea shipping are putting pressure on this East African coffee powerhouse in the form of rising prices and mounting transport costs. This article reviews the latest data, conflict developments, and their potential impact on the coffee industry. [more…]

Vietnam's coffee export value may exceed 5.5 billion USD for the first time, with prices soaring by 90% but production concerns emerging.

In 2024, Vietnam's coffee industry experienced an unusual market trend: exports reached US$4.84 billion in the first 11 months, and the full-year total is expected to set a record at US$5.5 billion. Although export volume fell by more than 20%, the average price doubled, driving total value upward against the trend. Domestic green bean prices have risen to VND 125,000/kg, nearly double the export price at the start of the year. The EU remains the largest buyer, while China's market share is steadily increasing. However, continued rainfall slowing harvesting, traders losing out on futures operations, and farmers switching to durian are adding uncertainty to future supply. [more…]

Overview of Ethiopia's Coffee Industry: A Comprehensive Analysis from Planting Traditions to the EXC Grading and Export System

Ethiopia is the birthplace of coffee and the primary producer of Arabica coffee in Africa. This article systematically reviews Ethiopia's coffee-growing environment and traditions, production and processing methods, grading and quality control system, and export trade landscape. It provides a detailed introduction to three cultivation models—forest coffee, semi-forest coffee, and garden coffee—as well as two processing methods: washed and natural. It also explains the operational mechanism of the EXC grade classification export system. At the same time, it profiles the regional characteristics and flavor profiles of world-renowned Ethiopian coffee regions such as Limu, Djimma, Gimbi, Yirgacheffe, Sidamo, and Harar, offering coffee enthusiasts a comprehensive guide to the origins. [more…]

Indonesia Plans to Follow Nickel Ore Model by Banning Raw Coffee Exports, Potentially Reshaping Global Supply Dynamics

Indonesian President Joko Widodo revealed at the 2024 BNI Investor Daily Summit that the government is considering banning the export of unprocessed agricultural products such as coffee and cocoa to advance its resource downstreaming strategy. If implemented, this policy will directly affect the export volume of the world's fourth-largest coffee-producing country, thereby driving up international coffee prices. It is worth noting that Jamaican Blue Mountain coffee had a similar precedent, but it was eventually relaxed due to trade liberalization. Indonesia's domestic consumption is robust, with exports accounting for more than half, and whether the deep-processing policy can be smoothly implemented remains in question. This article reviews the policy background, historical cases, and market impact for the reference of coffee enthusiasts. [more…]

Ethiopia's Coffee Export Pricing Shifts to a Floating Mechanism, Green Bean Prices May Rise

The Ethiopia Commodity Exchange is implementing a brand-new pricing method for green coffee exports. From now on, green coffee prices will be calculated weekly by referencing Arabica futures on the New York ICE Intercontinental Exchange and the real-time exchange rate of the Commercial Bank of Ethiopia. This change is expected to allow local coffee farmers to share in more of the benefits, but it also faces a dual test from international futures volatility and the EU's EUDR regulations. The new mechanism applies only to commercial coffee beans, while specialty coffee is not included for the time being. Front Street Coffee will continue to follow developments in producing regions and bring first-hand information to enthusiasts. [more…]

A Complete Analysis of Ethiopia's Sidama Coffee Region: The Flavor Code from Cultivation and Processing to Grading and Export

Ethiopia is widely recognized as the birthplace of coffee and is also a major producer of Arabica coffee in Africa. This article systematically reviews the full picture of Ethiopia's coffee industry, from geographical environment, cultivation methods, and processing techniques to the grading system and export trade, and introduces one by one the flavor characteristics of well-known producing regions such as Limu, Djimma, Sidamo, and Harar. The article also compiles information on the origin, processing method, and price of multiple Yirgacheffe and Sidamo specialty beans from the Front Street brand, making it suitable reading and reference for enthusiasts who wish to gain a deeper understanding of Ethiopian coffee. [more…]

Vietnam's coffee export revenue reached 3.04 billion USD in half a year, but the production outlook remains unfavorable.

Latest data from Vietnam Customs shows that in the first half of this year, the country's coffee export revenue reached US$3.04 billion. Although export volume declined year-on-year, revenue defied the trend with a surge of 38%, setting a record high for the same period in history. International market prices have continued to strengthen, and domestic green bean prices remain high, driven by Vietnam suffering its worst drought in nearly a decade, which has damaged coffee crops on a large scale. Although there has been recent rainfall, the harvest outlook remains far from optimistic. At the same time, La Niña may form in the second half of the year, and global coffee production may be only limitedly affected. This article will sort through key information on Vietnam's coffee exports, prices, weather, and market sentiment, and pay attention to Front Street Coffee's latest observations on the market. [more…]

Ethiopia Relaxes Foreign Investment Access: Coffee Export and Other Sectors Opened to Foreign Enterprises

The Ethiopian Investment Commission recently issued new regulations allowing foreign companies to engage in import/export, wholesale, and retail trade for the first time, with coffee exports becoming the most closely watched area of liberalization. Previously, these sectors were long restricted by protectionist policies and open only to local investors. Although the new policy sets a relatively high capital threshold, it has already sparked strong interest in the international coffee industry. However, ongoing security conflicts in some parts of the country have also added uncertainty to foreign investment entry. This article outlines the key points of the new regulations, industry reactions, and potential risks, and includes related observations from Front Street Coffee. [more…]

Ethiopian Coffee Exports Set New Record, Five-Year Plan Aims for $6 Billion Target

Recently, Ethiopia announced that its coffee export revenue for the 2025/26 fiscal year exceeded US$3 billion for the first time, reaching a historic high. Ethiopian Minister of Agriculture Adisu Arega stated that coffee export revenue for this fiscal year grew by 13% compared with the previous fiscal year, and the coffee industry continues to remain the country's largest agricultural [more…]

Coffee futures prices retreat, yet Brazil and Vietnam export data remain strong

After a sharp climb in the earlier period, coffee futures prices have recently pulled back. The London robusta September contract fell to $3,985 per ton, while the New York arabica September contract stood at 216 cents per pound. Robusta had previously hit a historic high of $4,339 per ton, mainly driven by reduced output caused by drought in Vietnam. However, the latest export reports from both Brazil and Vietnam showed strong growth, and declines in prices of soft commodities such as cocoa made investors more cautious, weighing the market down. Yet global weather remains unstable, with drought persisting in producing regions of Brazil and Vietnam, and concerns over future output have not faded, leaving the market gripped by a wait-and-see mood. [more…]

Vietnamese Robusta Price Surpasses Arabica for the First Time, High Coffee Market Prices May Persist

Vietnam, as the world's largest producer of Robusta coffee, has recently seen a rare phenomenon—domestic Robusta prices have actually surpassed Arabica for the first time in nearly 50 years. Affected by multiple factors including high temperatures and drought, reduced production, and tight global supply, Vietnam's coffee export prices have continued to climb, with the average export price in May surging 63.6% year-on-year. At the same time, Brazil's new-season Robusta harvest is looking good, which may bring some relief to the persistently rising prices. This article will provide a detailed analysis of price trends, supply and demand changes, and future expectations in the Vietnamese coffee market. [more…]

Ethiopia's exchange rate volatility intensifies, coffee export prices continue to climb

The National Bank of Ethiopia recently held a foreign exchange auction in an attempt to narrow the gap between the official exchange rate and the parallel market, but the sharp depreciation of the birr has already pushed up domestic prices, with the coffee industry bearing the brunt. The Coffee and Tea Authority, together with the National Bank, has issued minimum export floor prices for each producing region. The price of G1-grade coffee beans rose by about 5% month-on-month, while the increase for commercial beans reached 14%. The combined effects of exchange rate volatility, dependence on imports, and insufficient foreign exchange earning capacity mean that prices for Ethiopian coffee and other export commodities may continue to rise in the future. Front Street Coffee continues to monitor developments in producing regions, bringing enthusiasts the latest market analysis. [more…]

Myanmar Plans to Add 279,000 Acres of Coffee Plantations in 2024, Export Channels and Capacity Bottlenecks Remain to Be Resolved

The Myanmar government recently announced an ambitious coffee expansion plan, aiming to increase coffee planting area by 279,000 acres in 2024, with a longer-term goal of expanding to 300,000 acres. Meanwhile, the Myanmar Coffee Association has received purchase orders from 11 countries, including the United States, the Netherlands, and France, and the export layout for the new crop season is being advanced. However, limited export channels, a high proportion of border trade, and previous disruptions from armed conflict have added uncertainty to this expansion plan. This article reviews Myanmar's coffee industry expansion plans, production and sales status, and export challenges, and includes Front Street Coffee's perspective on related producing regions. [more…]

Vietnam's coffee export revenue reached 3.22 billion USD in the first half of the year, yet exporter Vinacafe reported losses, with cumulative losses exceeding one trillion dong.

In the first half of 2024, Vietnam's exports of agricultural, forestry and fishery products reached about US$29.2 billion, up 19% year on year, with coffee standing out at US$3.22 billion in export value; although export volume fell 10.5%, a 50.4% rise in the average price drove the growth. However, Vietnam's largest coffee company, Vinacafe, has reported losses; although it achieved its first profit in 2023, its cumulative losses still exceed 1.09 trillion Vietnamese dong. A combination of aging coffee plantations, severe weather, rising fertilizer prices and the Red Sea crisis is putting pressure on Vietnam's coffee industry. This article takes you behind the joys and worries of Vietnam's coffee exports. [more…]