As the year draws to a close, chain brands are accelerating their entry, franchise thresholds keep dropping, and the price war is intensifying. Under the weight of these three pressures, a group of independent coffee shops that have been barely hanging on are hastening toward their end. On social platforms, news of countdowns to closure, store transfers, and coffee machines being sold off cheaply floods the feeds. From shop owners to part-time employees to second-hand equipment dealers, everyone is witnessing this surging wave of closures. Through multiple real cases, this article reconstructs the harsh reality of today's coffee entrepreneurship track. [more…]

Over the past year, the domestic coffee sector has undergone an unprecedented reshuffle. Data from Zhaomen Canyan shows that nearly 53,000 new stores opened in the past year, but net growth was only just over 6,000, meaning more than 45,000 coffee shops have quietly exited. From the microcosm of all four coffee shops in a residential compound shutting down, to the sharp contraction of chain brands such as Benlai Budgaiyou and Seesaw, to top brands like Starbucks and Manner adjusting their store layouts, the wave of closures has swept across operators of different scales. At the same time, coffee bean futures prices hit a record high, and with cost pressure compounded by market saturation, many coffee shop owners find it hard to be optimistic about the outlook. This article reviews industry data and typical cases to present this hard battle over the survival of stores. [more…]

Recently, the news that Starbucks' first store in Guangzhou is about to close has attracted widespread consumer attention. This coffee shop, once famous for being open 24 hours, holds countless memories and emotions for many people. From adjusting its business hours during the pandemic to now facing closure, its departure is not only the end of a store but also reflects the balancing challenge Starbucks faces between expansion and optimizing its layout. Meanwhile, long-established stores in Shenyang, Hong Kong, and other places have also successively announced the end of their operations, with longtime customers expressing their reluctance. This article will take you through the story of this first Guangzhou store, as well as the market logic behind Starbucks' recent store closure trends. [more…]

Recently, many consumers have noticed that Manner coffee shops near them have suddenly closed their doors, showing "resting" on the mini-program, with no clear notice and no timetable for resuming business. It is understood that this phenomenon is closely related to Manner's internal personnel adjustments: baristas with excessive working hours are arranged to take leave, while those with insufficient hours are transferred to other stores for support, resulting in some stores having to temporarily close. At the same time, the brand has also shortened the operating hours of some stores, with morning shifts starting later and evening shifts ending earlier. Whether this adjustment can allow Manner to find a balance between chain expansion, specialty quality, and affordable positioning has become a focal point of industry attention. [more…]

In 2023, China's coffee market size reached 180.6 billion yuan, with chain brands accelerating their expansion—MANNER surpassing 10,000 stores and Luckin and Cotti going overseas—making it seem like a landscape of prosperity. However, in the saved folders on social media platforms, many coffee enthusiasts have discovered that nearly half of the independent coffee shops they once bookmarked now show "closed for business," including many high-quality small shops with thousands of positive reviews. From Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen to other cities, this phenomenon is spreading. The price wars of chain brands have squeezed the survival space of independent shops, while poor business strategies and a lack of differentiation have also made it difficult for many stores to stay afloat. What kind of preparation and reflection does running a coffee shop actually require? This article takes you deep into the real dilemmas facing independent coffee shops and the ways to break through. [more…]

Over the past month, the specialty coffee chain brand Seesaw has been thrust into the spotlight due to a wave of consecutive store closures across multiple locations. From Beijing, Shanghai, and Hangzhou to Chongqing and Wuhan, news of closures has continued to spread, sparking widespread speculation about the company's operating condition. In response, Seesaw founder Wu Xiaomei recently gave an official response to Jiemian News, acknowledging that the brand is undergoing strategic adjustments and has closed some stores that do not fit the "three no's" criteria—those that do not align with the regional focus strategy, brand positioning, and store model—and revealed that same-store sales growth over the past three years reached 22%. At a time when low-priced beverages dominate the market and competition is increasingly fierce, can this brand, which insists on a specialty coffee route, hold its ground with a strategy focused on core commercial districts in East China? This article sorts out the sequence of events and the official response, and includes industry observations such as those from Front Street Coffee. [more…]

In an era where remote work is increasingly common, more and more people are choosing to treat cafes as their second office. For just a few hundred yen spent on a cup of coffee, they can stay in the shop for hours or even longer. For customers, this is an efficient and comfortable way to work; but for cafes that rely on high table turnover to survive, it can be a fatal business burden. Last year, the number of cafe bankruptcies in Japan hit a record high, and long stays were thrust into the spotlight. Time limits, fewer power outlets, customer dissatisfaction... operators are caught in a dilemma. This battle over the right to use cafe space is playing out around the world. [more…]

Once upon a time, opening a coffee shop was seen by countless people as the ideal path to escape the 996 work grind and embrace poetry and distant lands. Reality, however, is like an unsweetened espresso—bitter enough to catch you off guard. In recent months, warehouses of second-hand coffee equipment recyclers have been bursting at the seams, and self-deprecating posts about "money-losing cafés" have proliferated on social media. From the vengeful wave of shop openings at the start of the year to the current wave of closures, the coffee industry is undergoing a brutal shakeout. Some are cutting their losses helplessly, others are struggling to hang on, and surprisingly, many entrepreneurs' first pot of gold has come from selling off the coffee machines they once bought at great expense. This article takes you deep into this phenomenon, dissecting the business logic and survival challenges behind coffee entrepreneurship—if you're also preparing to open a shop, perhaps you should first read these real stories. [more…]

How much can you actually lose by opening a coffee shop? Many shop owners have shared their real earnings on delivery platforms: a cup of coffee originally priced at over twenty yuan, after deducting various discounts and commissions, may leave them with only a few cents, or even result in negative-order losses. Knowing they are losing money, they still force themselves to stay on delivery platforms, simply because if they do not join the promotions, they get no orders all day. At the same time, coffee shop transfer listings have surged on social platforms, from big cities to small towns, from large stores of several hundred square meters to tiny shops of just over ten square meters, all in a hurry to offload. Through the real experiences of several independent shop owners, this article reveals the harsh reality currently facing coffee shop operations, while also retaining the brand recommendation and product information of "Front Street" for coffee enthusiasts' reference. [more…]

Tims China has always held a special place in consumers' minds—many people remember it not for its coffee, but for the bagel on its breakfast menu. However, this chain brand, known for its bagels, has recently been plagued by frequent store closure news. The first Tims store in Yinchuan, which was also the brand's 700th store in China, the Xinhua Department Store location, quietly closed after less than a year in operation, prompting regret among local consumers. Looking at the entire commercial district, this store was surrounded by 3 Luckin Coffee, 2 Starbucks, and 1 Cotti Coffee locations, highlighting the intense competitive pressure. More notably, Tims stores in Beijing, Shanghai, Nanjing, Dalian, and other cities have also successively announced closures. From the thousand-store target in its financial reports to the 885 stores counted by Narrow Door Dining Eye, Tims' expansion path seems to be facing severe challenges. This article will start with the closure of the first Yinchuan store to analyze Tims' current operating situation and market challenges. [more…]

Recently, news that Chongqing's first Starbucks store is about to close has sparked heated discussions on social media. Since opening in February 2006, this store located in Sanxia Square in Shapingba has accompanied the citizens of this mountain city for 18 years, expanding from two floors to three and upgrading to a Reserve store, carrying the youthful memories of countless people. However, as the lessor withdraws entirely, the store will officially cease operations at the end of this month. The brand responded that it has opened a new store in Huayuzhou Plaza, just a hundred meters away, to continue serving customers. At the same time, factors such as the wave of traditional department store closures and changes in foot traffic in commercial districts have led people to speculate that Starbucks may have other considerations behind this move. This article takes you through the past of this iconic store and explores the multiple reasons behind its closure. [more…]

Sexy Tea, the Changsha tea beverage brand that has captured the hearts of consumers nationwide, is finally set to leave Central China and enter Western China. Following the grand scene of eight-hour queues triggered by its first store in Wuhan at the end of 2020, Sexy Tea officially confirmed it will open in Chongqing this June and has already reached intentions with four shopping malls: Raffles City, Longfor Times Paradise Walk, Longfor North City Paradise Walk, and MixC. From the retreat of its Shenzhen pop-up store, to three waves of store closures in 2021, and then to reflecting on blind expansion and "traveling light to new cities," Sexy Tea's expansion path has been full of twists and turns. Whether this entry into Chongqing can hold the mid-range position amid the chaotic battle of high-end tea drinks cutting prices to seize the market is worth watching. [more…]

Recently, consumers in Qingyuan, Guangdong discovered that the mini-program of the chain tea beverage brand CoCo都可 no longer shows any local stores, indicating that the brand has quietly withdrawn from the Qingyuan market. As a veteran Taiwanese tea beverage brand founded in 1997, CoCo都可 accompanied a generation as they grew up, and its classic Milk Tea Three Brothers and Fresh Passion Fruit Double Punch were favorites for many. However, in recent years competition in the tea beverage sector has intensified, with emerging brands such as Chagee and Sexy Tea continually appearing. Although CoCo都可 has carried out co-branded campaigns and overseas expansion, the results seem to have fallen short of expectations. On social platforms, many users have reported that nearby stores have quietly disappeared, and data show that the number of its closures has exceeded its existing stores. What exactly has caused this brand, once bustling with customers, to fall into a wave of closures? This article will analyze from the perspectives of the market environment, product competitiveness, and operating costs. [more…]

Fresh fruit coffee specialty stores, once hugely popular, are now undergoing a large-scale contraction. Fruit coffee brands represented by "Originally Shouldn't Have" have shrunk from a peak of 725 stores to just over 140, a closure rate of nearly 80%. Other brands specializing in fruit coffee are likewise facing sharp store reductions, closures, or forced transformation. Why has this niche category, which shot to fame around 2020, gone from capital darling to quiet exit in just a few short years? This article reviews the development trajectory and current state of the fruit coffee track, and includes Front Street Coffee's observations on industry trends. [more…]

The coffee market is undergoing a new round of reshuffling. The number of coffee shops nationwide has approached 200,000, yet the survival cycle of newly opened stores is worrying. A large number of entrepreneurs are pouring into the coffee sector, including both independent coffee shops and franchise stores of chain brands. However, price wars and homogenized competition have caused many stores to bow out quietly within just two or three months. Under the squeeze of giants' low-price strategies, how can independent cafes balance price and distinctiveness? How should franchisees avoid pitfalls? This article provides an in-depth analysis of the reasons behind the wave of coffee shop closures, and, drawing on brand cases such as Front Street Coffee, explores ways to break through. [more…]

Over the past year, the tea beverage market has undergone a dramatic reshuffle. According to Zhanmen Canyan data, the total number of stores in the milk tea beverage industry reached 412,600, with 142,300 new openings, but the net growth was -17,700, meaning that more than 160,000 stores exited the market in the fierce competition. Although leading brands such as Mixue Ice Cream & Tea, Guming, Shanghai Auntie, and ChaPanda still saw growth, their pace of store expansion has clearly slowed. Nayuki's stock price plummeted 93%, wiping out nearly HK$27 billion in market value. Product homogenization is severe, consumers are experiencing aesthetic fatigue with similar drinks, and the industry is accelerating into a harsh winter during the off-season of autumn and winter. [more…]

Many college students embark on the path of entrepreneurship with the dream of opening a coffee shop, but reality is often far crueler than imagination. A young entrepreneur lost 100,000 yuan in just two months of opening her shop and had to close down and sell off her equipment. When netizens saw that she was using what the industry nicknamed a "toy machine"—a fully automatic coffee machine—the comments section erupted. The stark contrast between carefully selected ingredients and mismatched equipment sparked widespread discussion about how independent coffee shops can survive in fierce competition. Meanwhile, the national coffee shop closure rate continues to climb, and the industry shakeout is accelerating. [more…]

Starbucks recently announced the launch of a restructuring plan totaling US$1 billion, involving the closure of underperforming company-operated stores and a new round of layoffs. According to a filing submitted to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, most of the store closures will be completed before the end of fiscal 2025, with US$150 million for employee severance and US$85 million covering lease termination and asset disposal costs. CEO Niccol said in an open letter to employees that some stores failed to meet financial targets or create the environment customers expect, so the decision was made to immediately close some stores in North America. Foreign media reports say the restructuring will affect hundreds of coffee shops in the United States and Canada, including the world's first Roastery in Seattle's Capitol Hill and the SODO Reserve store in the company's headquarters building. This Roastery, which opened in 2014, is not only a pilgrimage site for Starbucks fans but also one of the first unionized stores in the brand's history, and its permanent closure without warning has sparked employee speculation about union suppression. At the same time, about 900 non-retail employees will receive layoff notices, marking the second round of layoffs since Niccol took office. Although the Europe, Middle East and Africa business is proceeding as planned, some stores in the UK, Switzerland and Austria will also close due to a portfolio review. [more…]

South Korea's per capita annual coffee consumption reaches 352 cups, about three times the global average, yet all coffee beans are imported. Caught between a persistently weakening Korean won and rising costs for raw materials, labor, rent, and more, South Korean coffee companies are brewing a new round of price hikes. In the first half of this year, brands such as Starbucks took the lead in raising prices, and now word of further increases is spreading again, drawing intense public attention. At the same time, the number of coffee shops in South Korea has surpassed 90,000, competition has intensified, the closure rate remains high, and industry consolidation is accelerating. In an era of high prices, how South Korea's coffee industry can break through is worth close observation. [more…]

When a long-running independent coffee shop decides to put itself up for a full transfer, what it leaves behind is not only equipment and décor, but also a story of the tug-of-war between dreams and reality. Recently, coffee shop transfer listings have surged on social platforms, and many one-person shop models are facing closure. From the initial passion for starting a business to the feeling of being trapped after losing their freedom, what kind of shift have shop owners gone through in their mindset? Why do they prefer transferring the entire shop as a lease rather than selling it off in parts? Amid this wave of transfers, industry observers such as Front Street Coffee have also begun to wonder: is starting a coffee business really this difficult? [more…]