Extreme weather triggered by El Niño is continuing to batter coffee-growing regions worldwide. After several Central American countries, African coffee-producing nations have not been spared either. Uganda saw its November coffee exports fall 4.8% year-on-year as heavy rains delayed harvesting and disrupted drying processes. Meanwhile, the European Union has officially rolled out its Deforestation Regulation (EUDR), requiring importers to trace the origin of commodities such as coffee and conduct due diligence, or else face fines or a ban on market access. This regulation has led European importers to scale back purchases from smallholder farmers in Africa, leaving roughly 5 million coffee-dependent farming households in Ethiopia facing the prospect of dwindling orders. Industry insiders point out that the high cost and difficulty of compliance could further drive up prices for EU consumers while undermining the actual effectiveness of forest protection. This article examines the dual pressures of weather and policy to outline the export and market challenges currently facing Africa's coffee industry. [more…]

The EU plans to postpone the deforestation regulation (EUDR) originally scheduled to take effect at the end of 2024, and intends to classify countries by risk level, giving producers and traders more time to adapt. The regulation requires traders to prove that their product supply chains do not involve deforestation after December 30, 2020, otherwise imports will be banned. As an industry closely linked to deforestation, the coffee sector will be significantly affected in producing countries such as Vietnam, Brazil, Indonesia, and Colombia, with export costs likely to rise substantially. The European Coffee Federation previously wrote to the European Commission requesting a postponement of implementation. The EU is currently discussing classifying exporting countries into three risk levels—low, standard, and high—with high-risk countries facing stricter scrutiny. Industry insiders worry that the classification system lacks flexibility, may unfairly penalize compliant exporters, and that small farms also face the risk of losing market access. Front Street Coffee will continue to monitor the progress of this regulation and its impact on the coffee industry chain. [more…]

The European Parliament recently voted to postpone the implementation date of the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) to December 2025, giving Kenyan coffee exporters an extra year of buffer time to adapt to the new rules. However, many exporters remain deeply worried, believing that under current conditions it will be very difficult to meet the EU's strict requirements. The EU is one of the most important overseas markets for Kenyan coffee, accounting for more than 20% of its total exports. Yet with Kenya's fragmented smallholder farmers, underprepared cooperatives, high compliance costs, and multiple pressures including stalled reforms, climate-related production declines, the Red Sea crisis, and port congestion, the outlook for this East African coffee-producing country is full of uncertainty. [more…]

In response to the strict requirements of the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR), the Brazilian Coffee Exporters Council (Cecafe) and the credit company Serasa Experian have jointly launched the Cafes do Brasil platform and held a seminar in São Paulo to help exporters master traceability tools. The platform uses remote sensing technology and geolocation data to dynamically analyze ESG indicators such as forest protection, agricultural cultivation, and deforestation alerts in production areas, ensuring full traceability throughout the coffee supply chain. Among the approximately 100 participants, 41 council members are responsible for about 90% of Brazil's coffee shipments to the EU, and their compliance practices will significantly enhance the transparency and international reputation of Brazilian coffee. [more…]

The European Union's upcoming zero-deforestation regulation (EUDR), set to take effect in 2025, requires imports of seven categories of agricultural products, including coffee, to prove they are not linked to deforestation. This environmental milestone could, however, place a heavy burden on smallholder countries that depend on coffee exports. Take East Timor as an example: coffee accounts for more than 90% of its non-oil export earnings, sustaining the livelihoods of 77,000 rural households, and the EU is its largest market. Yet the complex local land tenure, scattered smallholder plots, lack of GPS mapping capacity, and high illiteracy rate make it difficult for the vast majority of coffee farmers to meet compliance requirements. This not only threatens East Timor's coffee industry but could also lead to non-compliant coffee flooding the global market, driving down prices and worsening the plight of smallholders. [more…]

The core difference between organic tea and conventional tea lies in whether it has been certified by an authoritative body. EU organic regulations prohibit genetic modification and synthetic inputs, and require animals to be raised in ways that suit their species characteristics, and are regarded as the strictest threshold in the tea industry. Certifications such as Switzerland's IMO, France's Ecocert, the US USDA, Japan's JAS, India's, Canada's, China's, Australia's, and Germany's Naturland each have different emphases, with significant differences in scope of application and difficulty of obtaining them. Rainforest Alliance, UTZ, FDA, and HACCP provide supplementary assurances from the perspectives of sustainable agriculture and food safety. This article systematically sorts out the rules, authority, and market applicability of major certifications, helping coffee and tea lovers accurately identify the true meaning behind labels when making purchases. [more…]

The international Fairtrade organization recently published revised coffee certification standards, aiming to meet or even exceed the various requirements of the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR). The new rules will cover all Fairtrade-certified coffee, not limited to products exported to the EU, and strengthen monitoring and reporting obligations for producer organizations and traders. The standard is expected to take effect in 2026, involving approximately 600 cooperatives, 870,000 coffee farmers, and 1.1 million hectares of cultivated land. To implement deforestation monitoring, Fairtrade has commissioned the Dutch company Satelligence to provide satellite data services. Meanwhile, the EUDR will take effect for large European companies between the end of 2024 and early 2025, and the coffee industry is actively adjusting to comply with this regulation. [more…]

After the EU's Zero Deforestation Regulation took effect, the threshold for exporting coffee to the European market has been significantly raised. The international Fairtrade organization recently announced a partnership with remote sensing technology company Satelligence to expand satellite monitoring to all certified coffee producer organizations worldwide, helping cooperatives and their smallholder members directly access deforestation risk data. This move is intended to break the monopoly of large corporations on supply chain information, enabling producers to proactively prove that their coffee is not linked to deforestation and thereby retain access to the EU market. This article reviews the background of the partnership, the requirements of the regulation, and various perspectives, and includes related recommendations from Front Street Coffee. [more…]

Recently, the coffee market has experienced a noticeable price increase, driven by a mix of extreme weather, new EU regulations, shipping disruptions, and geopolitical conflicts. The El Niño phenomenon has led to reduced production and exports in several coffee-producing countries, the EU Deforestation Regulation has made importers hesitant to move forward, and the drought in the Panama Canal along with armed threats in the Red Sea have extended shipping times. Add to that war and inflation suppressing consumption and high interest rates driving up trade costs, and coffee futures prices soared at one point. However, some positive signals have emerged recently: El Niño is expected to weaken after March-April 2024, and production and exports from producing countries may recover; meanwhile, the "Operation Prosperity Guardian" initiative has given shipping companies hope of returning to Red Sea routes. Does this mean coffee prices are likely to fall? This article will sort through the whole story and bring you Front Street Coffee's observations and recommendations. [more…]

A report released by the European Coffee Federation (ECF) shows that Europe remains the world's largest coffee market, accounting for about 28% of global coffee consumption. The ECF accounts for about 90% of the EU's total coffee imports. The report also found that the coffee industry directly created about 15 [more…]

Recently, the Ethiopian government, together with the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), launched a long-term coffee land-use plan with a budget of up to US$20.8 million, aimed at curbing deforestation, promoting the sustainable development of the coffee industry, and helping local coffee comply with the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR). The project, named FOLUR, is part of a US$345 million global initiative funded by the Global Environment Facility (GEF) and is planned to run from 2024 to 2031. The project covers 22 districts across four major regions, including Oromia and Sidama, and aims to restore 10,500 hectares of non-productive coffee forests and 60,000 hectares of key forest land, while improving the livelihoods of about 440,000 people. This move is not only related to the lifeline of Ethiopia's coffee exports—which account for 30-35% of its export earnings—but also provides key support for responding to the EUDR regulations that the EU is about to bring into effect. [more…]

Uganda, as an important coffee-producing country in Africa, has recently delivered impressive export results. In the 2023/24 fiscal year, the country's total coffee exports exceeded 6.13 million bags, with export value reaching US$1.144 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 6.33% and 35.29% respectively. This growth has benefited both from rising international coffee prices and from the EU's upcoming deforestation-free regulation and tight supply from Vietnam. At the same time, China-Uganda agricultural cooperation continues to deepen, and the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation is expected to open a broader Chinese market for Ugandan coffee. This article will review the latest data on Uganda's coffee exports, variety performance, and future prospects, and bring relevant recommendations from Front Street Coffee. [more…]

Kenya's annual coffee production is approximately 51,000 metric tons, and the government is pursuing a series of strategic initiatives to raise this figure by 49,000 metric tons in order to better meet international market demand and strengthen the country's economic influence. To this end, the Kenyan government recently decided to allocate 6 billion shillings (approximately US$37.62 million) to support the Coffee Cherry Advance Revolving Fund and the production segment, with funding starting in Makueni County and gradually extending to 37 coffee-growing regions including Machakos, Kajiado, Taita Taveta, Kirinyaga, and Murang'a. Meanwhile, the Rainforest Alliance is also taking action in Kenya, partnering with the Gusii Coffee Farmers Cooperative Union to launch a regenerative agriculture landscape coffee project, helping local coffee obtain certification that meets global standards in order to address the export threshold brought about by the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR). Whether this series of measures can take Kenyan coffee a step further on the international stage is worth continued attention. [more…]

The global coffee market is facing an unprecedented price storm. Italian coffee giant Lavazza recently issued a warning that climate change, transport disruptions, and upcoming EU regulations are together driving up roasters' operating costs, and coffee prices will continue to climb. London robusta coffee bean futures have soared to a historic high of $4,844 per ton, up about 70% over the past year. Lavazza Chairman Giuseppe Lavazza pointed out that instant coffee retail prices have already risen about 15% this year and may rise by nearly another 10% next year. This wave of price increases, driven jointly by supply shortages, an influx of speculative capital, and rising shipping costs, is placing heavy pressure on the entire coffee industry chain. [more…]

The Costa Rican coffee industry has recently faced multiple challenges. According to ICAFE data, coffee exports in January fell by 28% year-on-year, and the full-year export forecast has also been revised down by nearly 13%, with adverse weather and a global surplus of Arabica supply both applying pressure. At the same time, the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) has made importers more cautious, adding further uncertainty to the export outlook. To make matters worse, the tap water in the San José area has been contaminated with hydrocarbons, which not only affects residents' health but may also affect the soil and future coffee quality. This article will sort through three threads—the export decline, policy pressure, and the water quality crisis—to help coffee lovers gain a comprehensive understanding of developments in the origin. [more…]

The new coffee harvest season in Brazil is accelerating, with both Robusta and Arabica harvest progress outpacing last year's same period, promising to ease the tight global supply situation. Influenced by factors such as reduced production in Vietnam and the Red Sea crisis driving up logistics costs, market demand for Brazilian coffee has surged, and Cecafé expects exports for the 2023/24 season to reach 46.3 million bags, setting a new historical record. Meanwhile, frost warnings are prompting coffee farmers to rush their harvest, and multiple countries are also accelerating shipments before the EU's deforestation regulation takes effect. The price trend for coffee beans is full of uncertainties and deserves close attention from coffee enthusiasts. [more…]

Recently, Arabica coffee bean futures climbed for three consecutive days, hitting their highest point in nearly half a year. The May contract surged 12.5% during the week, settling at $2.12 per pound, the strongest weekly performance since July 2021. Meanwhile, the International Coffee Organization's composite price index rose to 186.36 cents per pound, an 18-month high; Robusta prices even reached their highest level since October 1994. The main driver was a heatwave and drought in Vietnam, which tightened Robusta supply and indirectly pushed Arabica higher. Vietnam's output is expected to drop by 20%, with exports declining in tandem, and coffee exports from Asia and Oceania as a whole falling 17%. The EU's deepening reliance on Vietnamese Robusta, combined with the Red Sea situation driving up shipping costs, has given coffee prices room for continued gains. [more…]

The Ethiopian government has launched drone airstrikes in the Gondar region of Amhara State, killing more than 60 civilians. The local anti-government Fano militia says the airstrikes cannot reverse the defensive forces' passive position, but instead have won them more grassroots support. The conflict has left millions of students out of school, damaged medical facilities, blocked roads, and disrupted the country's agriculture and livestock sectors and prices. Although the southern coffee-growing regions have so far not been affected, exports face pressure from the delayed implementation of the EU's EUDR and falling international coffee prices. Ethiopia's prime minister says annual coffee production has doubled from 500,000 tons to more than 1 million tons over the past five years, but producers believe regional security is the top priority. [more…]

Brazil's coffee exports suffered a severe setback in January, with export volumes falling by about 10% year-on-year, driven by a customs clearance standstill caused by strikes by customs brokers at the Port of Santos and Guarulhos Airport. At the same time, coffee stocks at major European ports are rapidly dwindling, with inventories in December 2023 down 37.9% from the start of the year. The pressure of the EU Deforestation Regulation transition period combined with the Red Sea shipping crisis is creating a compounding effect, prompting traders to scale back imports, container freight rates on Asia-Europe routes have soared by 150%, and coffee deliveries from Asian producing regions are facing delays of up to three weeks. Multiple factors are reshaping the global coffee trade landscape, and supply chain pressures are unlikely to ease in the short term. [more…]

The Ethiopian federal government has recently deployed approximately 40,000 additional troops to the Amhara region, launching a new large-scale military operation against Fano armed forces. Intense clashes have erupted in multiple areas, disrupting urban transportation and leaving residents trapped in their homes. The conflict has lasted for over a year, causing heavy casualties and severely impacting local agricultural and livestock production as well as logistics and transportation. As a major coffee-producing country in Africa, Ethiopia is facing multiple challenges, including currency depreciation, rising cultivation costs, and compliance pressure from the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR). This article will review the latest developments in the conflict and their potential impact on the coffee supply chain. [more…]