Monday, September 21 2026

Honduran coffee industry hit by double decline in production and exports, foreign exchange losses may reach 300 million USD

Honduras, as Central America's largest producer and exporter of washed Arabica coffee, is facing a severe industry crisis. Affected by factors such as changing weather patterns, high incidences of leaf rust, and labor shortages, the country's coffee production and exports have both declined. Foreign exchange earnings in the first four months of this year have already decreased by nearly 100 million US dollars, with an estimated potential loss of about 300 million US dollars for the entire year. Income from coffee cultivation in the 2023/24 season fell by approximately 27% compared to the previous season. The president of Honduras's National Coffee Council warned that if urgent measures are not taken, harvests will continue to decline, causing far-reaching impacts on producers and the entire country. Front Street Coffee continues to follow developments in Honduran coffee-producing regions, bringing the latest information to coffee enthusiasts. [more…]

Climate change hits Costa Rica's coffee industry: drought causes production decline, export and employment face chain pressure

Costa Rica has long ranked among the world's leading coffee producers and exporters, thanks to its volcanic soil, mild climate, and abundant rainfall. In recent years, however, persistent high temperatures and drought have been eroding its growing environment. In the Desamparados canton, a key production area in the Central Valley, some estates have seen yields fall by as much as 15%, and production for the 2024/25 harvest season is expected to drop 18% from the previous season. With water shortages during the flowering period, greater susceptibility to disease, aging trees, and labor shortages piling up, export volumes and foreign exchange earnings are coming under pressure. Faced with these challenges, the government has launched a low-carbon coffee program, while research institutions are promoting drought-resistant varieties and adaptive farming methods in an effort to cushion the impact of climate change. [more…]

Kenya's Coffee Industry Faces Multiple Challenges: Dual Pressure from New Regulations and Declining Production

The Kenyan coffee industry is facing unprecedented challenges. The latest report from the United States Department of Agriculture shows that, affected by a reduction in planted area and heavy rains, Kenya's coffee production in the 2024/25 marketing year is expected to fall to 750,000 bags, a year-on-year decline of 6.3%. At the same time, new policies and regulations implemented by the government are also profoundly affecting the entire industry chain, with impacts from production and processing to export trade. This series of changes has not only affected Kenya's coffee export volume and prices, but has also had a far-reaching impact on farmers' livelihoods and industry development. Front Street Coffee will provide you with an in-depth analysis of the current situation and future of Kenya's coffee industry. [more…]

Colombia Coffee March Export Report: Production Declines Month-on-Month, FNC Calls on Government for Assistance

The latest March export report released by the National Federation of Coffee Growers of Colombia (FNC) shows that although coffee production and export volume for the month increased compared with the same period last year, both declined month-on-month, mainly due to drought weather. At the same time, Colombia's president previously proposed that the state should take over the FNC, sparking industry controversy, while the government has so far taken no practical action. Coffee growers' committees from 15 provinces across the country jointly spoke out, pointing out that the coffee industry is facing a difficult period and calling on the government to provide necessary assistance rather than encourage division. This article will provide a detailed interpretation of the report data, climate impacts and policy controversies, and bring related recommendations from Front Street Coffee. [more…]

Kenya's Tax Increase Storm Hits Coffee Industry: Industry Plight Amid Declining Production and Policy Battles

The Kenyan coffee industry is facing a dual test of declining production and policy changes. A USDA report shows that due to heavy rain and reduced planting area, Kenya's coffee production in 2024/25 is expected to drop to 750,000 bags, a year-on-year decrease of 6.3%. Although the government plans to increase production by 55% to 102,000 metric tons by 2027 and has introduced support measures such as debt write-offs and a cherry fund, recent tax-increase protests and clashes triggered by a finance bill have cast a shadow over the industry's prospects. Coffee beans are traded in US dollars, and the 16% value-added tax will push up farmers' operating costs; new coffee regulations have led to processing plants halting operations, cherry rotting, and exports being hindered. Front Street Coffee notes that although the president has withdrawn the tax-increase plan, the industry still expresses concern about policy uncertainty. [more…]

Global shipping costs may plummet by 70%, offering hope for reduced logistics costs in the coffee industry

Recently, shipping consultancy agencies have predicted that container freight rates could drop sharply by 70% over the next year, which may be good news for the coffee industry that relies on maritime shipping. Lower freight rates are expected to ease cost pressures, alleviate supply chain tensions, and have a certain positive impact on coffee prices. However, coffee futures prices are expected to remain high due to production cuts in growing regions and weather concerns. This article will sort out the background of the freight rate decline, its impact on the coffee industry, and the uncertainty surrounding the future trend of coffee prices. [more…]

Kenya plans to launch a national coffee brand, but the industry still faces the dual challenges of declining production and new EU regulations.

The Kenya Export Promotion and Branding Agency, in collaboration with the Agriculture Sector Development Agency, is jointly planning to create a unified national coffee brand, aiming to consolidate global marketing resources and enhance the influence of Kenyan coffee in the international market. However, in recent years, the country's coffee production has continued to decline, and export performance has been volatile since 2016. Shrinking cultivation areas, rising production costs, price fluctuations, and unpredictable weather conditions are all constraining industry development. Although the government has implemented reforms to reduce intermediary links through the direct settlement system of the Nairobi Coffee Exchange, tightened processing licenses have led to the closure of large processing plants, with raw materials piling up and even rotting at small factories. Meanwhile, although the EU Deforestation Regulation has been delayed by one year, it still puts considerable pressure on traders and African producing countries. New variables such as the Red Sea crisis, port congestion, and rising domestic consumption have also led Kenyan coffee industry players to place greater expectations on policy. [more…]

Kenyan coffee auction prices rise 15%, as declining production and political volatility loom over the industry

After the Nairobi Coffee Exchange in Kenya reopened, coffee auction prices rose significantly, with AA-grade green beans fetching US$275 per bag, up 15% from before. Behind this increase are both the direct impact of the government's push for industry reforms and the reduction of intermediary links, as well as multiple pressures such as insufficient processing plant capacity, a shortage of certified planting materials, and the mpox outbreak and domestic political instability. Despite the higher prices, coffee export earnings fell 11.38% year on year, and the industry's outlook remains full of uncertainty. [more…]

Two major coffee-producing regions in Indonesia have been hit by disasters in succession; output may decline further, and prices could keep rising.

Recently, several major coffee-producing regions in Indonesia have been hit by natural disasters. A magnitude 5.0 earthquake struck near Bandung in West Java on the island of Java, causing injuries and damage to homes; the Aceh region in northern Sumatra was hit by heavy rain and strong winds, and with the coffee harvest season underway, harvesting work has been disrupted. At the same time, several provinces are also facing ongoing drought, and coffee production may decline further. This article summarizes the disaster situations in various areas and their impact on Indonesia's coffee industry. [more…]

Honduras' coffee industry faces multiple challenges: the spread of leaf rust combined with drought may cause production to plummet by 24% in the 2023/24 season.

The latest report from the United States Department of Agriculture shows that Honduras, Central America's largest producer of washed Arabica coffee, is facing a severe test. In the 2023/24 fiscal year, the country's coffee production is expected to be only 5.5 million bags (60 kg per bag), a sharp drop of 24% from the previous year, while exports will also fall from 6.2 million bags to 5 million bags, a decline of 19%. Extreme heat and drought, a large-scale outbreak of coffee leaf rust, and a persistent labor shortage are the core factors behind the decline in production. At the same time, the Honduran government has introduced tax-exemption policies and is accelerating free trade negotiations with markets such as China in an attempt to ease the plight of coffee farmers. This article will combine the USDA report with data from the Honduran Coffee Institute to provide a comprehensive analysis of the ins and outs of this industry crisis. [more…]

South America Hit by Dual Blow of Drought and Wildfires: Colombia's Coffee Production Declines, Inventories Dwindle, Exports Under Pressure as Prices Rise

A drought and forest fires lasting for months are sweeping across South America, and Colombia has not been spared. Forests in many places have been burned, water sources are running dangerously low, the water level of the Amazon River has plummeted, and Cauca Department has suffered its worst fires in nearly three decades, with large numbers of coffee crops damaged. Water rationing policies have left coffee farmers in a dilemma: insufficient irrigation affects yields, while exceeding water limits brings fines. The latest data show that Colombia's coffee production had fallen to 1.05 million bags in August, with inventories down 7.2% month on month. As the world's third-largest coffee-producing country, declining output and inventories are pushing up international coffee prices. [more…]

The Evolution of Colombia's Coffee Industry: From War and Decline to the Rise of the FNC, with Notes on Finca El Diviso's Sidra and Geisha

Colombia is located in the northern part of South America. Geographically, the western region consists of the Andes mountains and coastal plains, while the eastern region is made up of the Orinoco Plains and the Amazon Plains. Coffee is said to have been brought to this land by Jesuit monks in 1723, but it was not until the late 19th century that it truly developed into an industry. After that, the country experienced wars, and coffee cultivation declined for a time. The government then divided up wasteland and sold it to farmers, which allowed coffee to regain momentum in 1912 and account for half of total exports. Small farms lacked bargaining power in the market, which led to the creation of the coffee federation in 1920 and its development in 1927 into the more authoritative National Federation of Coffee Growers of Colombia (FNC). Through quality control, the establishment of research centers, and the creation of the Juan Valdez image, the FNC propelled Colombia to become the world's third-largest coffee producer and exporter. This article will also introduce Hacienda La Esmeralda in the Huila growing region, as well as Sidra and Geisha, which became popular after winning the 2022 WBC. [more…]

The Origins, Flavor Characteristics, Industry Development Dilemmas, and Prospects of Yemeni Mocha Coffee

Yemen was the first country in the world to cultivate coffee on a large scale, and its Mocha coffee once monopolized the European market for nearly two hundred years, earning it the title of "the diamond in Asia's coffee crown." However, in recent years, Yemen's coffee production has continued to decline, quality standards are lacking, the export structure is monolithic, and the industry faces numerous difficulties in its development. This article will take you back through the historical origins of Mocha coffee, analyze the natural and cultural factors behind its unique flavor, and review the current state and future prospects of Yemen's coffee industry. For coffee lovers, understanding Yemeni Mocha is an indispensable lesson in comprehending the world of coffee. Front Street Coffee will also recommend Yemeni Mocha products worth tasting. [more…]

Both Indonesia's Robusta coffee production and exports decline, market expectations unmet

A recent Indonesian coffee industry report released by the U.S. Department of Agriculture shows that Indonesia's coffee production in 2024/25 is expected to recover to 10.9 million bags, of which Robusta is projected to reach 9.5 million bags. However, the reality is not so optimistic: since the beginning of this year, Indonesia has frequently suffered natural disasters such as floods, landslides, and volcanic eruptions, and Sumatra's Robusta exports in May plunged 54% year-on-year. With the aftermath of El Niño still lingering and the threat of La Niña approaching, coupled with rising domestic consumption and exporters holding back sales, the supply outlook for Indonesian Robusta is full of uncertainties. This article will review production, exports, climate, and market dynamics, and include relevant recommendations from Front Street Coffee. [more…]

Under the dual impact of climate shocks and market downturn, El Salvador's coffee export volume and value have plummeted, with Chinese demand emerging as a potential bright spot.

Due to a combination of extreme weather, falling coffee futures prices and labor shortages, El Salvador's coffee bean export volume and export value both fell sharply in the first four months of the 2023/24 harvest season. According to a report by the Salvadoran Coffee Institute, export volume fell by nearly 47% year-on-year, export value dropped by more than 50%, and in January alone export value plunged by more than 90%. The United States remains the largest buyer, but Italy, Saudi Arabia and other countries follow closely behind in share. The decline in production is directly related to drought and extreme rainfall caused by the El Niño phenomenon. At the same time, El Salvador's coffee exports to China are on the rise, with 13 trading companies having completed registration in China, and the industry is optimistic about the potential of the Chinese market. Front Street Coffee continues to follow developments in the producing regions and bring frontline news to enthusiasts. [more…]

Costa Rican Coffee Production Decline Hits Exports, Down Nearly 30% Year-on-Year in January

The Costa Rican coffee industry has recently faced multiple challenges. According to ICAFE data, coffee exports in January fell by 28% year-on-year, and the full-year export forecast has also been revised down by nearly 13%, with adverse weather and a global surplus of Arabica supply both applying pressure. At the same time, the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) has made importers more cautious, adding further uncertainty to the export outlook. To make matters worse, the tap water in the San José area has been contaminated with hydrocarbons, which not only affects residents' health but may also affect the soil and future coffee quality. This article will sort through three threads—the export decline, policy pressure, and the water quality crisis—to help coffee lovers gain a comprehensive understanding of developments in the origin. [more…]

Under the double assault of climate stress and disease, Indonesia's coffee production is declining—can the Komasti resistant variety break through?

In recent years, Indonesia's coffee industry has faced severe challenges under the dual pressures of climate change and farm pests and diseases. The USDA Foreign Agricultural Service predicts that Indonesia's coffee exports will decline by 32% year-on-year in 2023/24. Previously, excessive rainfall disrupted coffee fruit development, leading to a sharp reduction in yield; now, high temperatures and drought are accelerating the spread of pests and diseases, restricting tree growth and further causing coffee supply shortages. Faced with this situation, the Indonesian Coffee and Cocoa Research Institute (ICCRI) continues to seek solutions through agricultural research, including the introduction of the disease-resistant and high-yielding Komasti Arabica variety. In 2022, ICCRI partnered with the World Coffee Research Institute to establish a demonstration plot in West Java to showcase the variety's performance to local farmers. Front Street Coffee is paying attention to this important development in Indonesia's coffee industry, and this article will review the research and development background, current promotion status, and future potential of the Komasti variety. [more…]

Under multiple pressures, Costa Rica's coffee industry continues to shrink, with production nearly halved compared to the 1990s.

Costa Rica has long been renowned for its deep-rooted coffee tradition and high-quality beans, and coffee cultivation was once a cornerstone of the national economy. In recent years, however, this Central American country's coffee industry has been in steady decline—production has fallen from 3.5 million bags (60 kg/bag) in the 1990s to 1.7 million bags (60 kg/bag) today. Exchange rate fluctuations, policy adjustments, labor shortages, and competition from other coffee-producing countries in the Americas have combined to drive the downturn. At the same time, Costa Rica's economic structure has been transforming rapidly: tourism, pharmaceuticals, and IT are booming, and the service sector now accounts for nearly half of domestic economic output, while agriculture's role is increasingly marginalized. Climate change is affecting coffee quality, geopolitics is driving up the cost of inputs such as fertilizer, and tighter immigration policies are making seasonal labor even scarcer. Looking ahead, industry views are divided: some believe that investment and support can help the industry overcome its difficulties, while others worry that smallholder farmers and traditional growing regions will fall behind in global market competition. This article reviews the current state of and challenges facing Costa Rica's coffee industry, along with related observations from Front Street Coffee. [more…]

Luckin surpasses 20,000 stores but faces profit pressure: the coffee industry dilemma behind the price war and declining same-store sales

Luckin Coffee's Q2 2024 financial report shows total net revenue of 8.403 billion yuan and net profit of 871.1 million yuan, with the total number of stores approaching 20,000. However, same-store sales at self-operated stores fell 20.9% year-on-year, and Starbucks' same-store sales in the Chinese market also dropped 14%. Beneath the surface of growth in both revenue and store count, the same-store data reveals hidden concerns. The price war continues to escalate, with promotions of 9.9 yuan or even 6.6 yuan emerging one after another. Brands are trading low prices for sales volume, yet profitability pressure is hard to conceal. Leading brands and small and medium-sized brands alike are caught in the scramble for locations, with stores opening ever more densely while the survival space of individual stores is continuously squeezed. This article will combine the latest financial report data to analyze why Luckin finds it harder to make money amid scale expansion, and to explore the evolution of the competitive landscape in the coffee industry. [more…]

Vietnam's coffee production is expected to decline by 5%-7%, the logic behind the continued rise in Robusta prices

The Vietnam Coffee and Cocoa Association released a report at the Asian International Coffee Conference held in Ho Chi Minh City, projecting Vietnam's coffee output for the 2024/25 crop year at 28 million bags, a decline of 5%-7% from the previous season. Despite the upward revision in production expectations, Robusta coffee futures prices still surged sharply to $4,907 per ton, with analysts suggesting they could further break through $5,000 per ton. Domestic coffee prices in Vietnam have subsequently rebounded, and export revenue has grown significantly, but heightened market volatility has led traders and coffee farmers to adopt a wait-and-see attitude. Multiple factors, including severe weather, geopolitical tensions, and rising freight costs, continue to affect Vietnam's coffee industry. Front Street Coffee brings you an interpretation of the latest developments in origin regions. [more…]