Attacks by Yemen's Houthi armed forces in the Red Sea and surrounding waters continue to escalate, with three ships targeted in a single day, further intensifying regional tensions. Vessels operated by Maersk and MSC were successively targeted, and MSC, citing persistent threats, announced a full suspension of services at the Port of Djibouti. The Port of Djibouti is the sole outlet for Ethiopian cargo exports, and with MSC accounting for 80% of the port's shipping capacity, this move has dealt a severe blow to Ethiopia's coffee exports. Coffee traders now face the dilemma of having booked space but no shipping date, with freight rates soaring and arrival times impossible to guarantee, while the Houthis' expansion of their strikes beyond their traditional threat zone is likely to further drive up shipping costs and coffee trading prices. [more…]

Armed conflict within Ethiopia continues to spread. Clashes recently erupted in the Dara area of North Shewa Zone, causing civilian casualties and large-scale displacement. Meanwhile, two trucks carrying Ethiopian weapons were intercepted and seized in central Somalia, triggering diplomatic tensions. This series of events could reduce Ethiopia's previously signed agreement with Somaliland on the use of Berbera Port to nothing, while Djibouti Port faces suspension of operations due to the Red Sea crisis. Coffee exports, the backbone of the country's economy, are facing an unprecedented logistics predicament. [more…]

Recently, the Houthi armed forces in Yemen launched a large-scale attack on U.S. warships in the Red Sea. Although the U.S. military successfully intercepted the attack, the incident once again highlighted the tense situation in the Red Sea region. Since the escalation of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict last year, the Houthis have frequently attacked commercial ships, forcing global shipping routes to change and thereby having a profound impact on the coffee trade. Problems such as soaring transport costs, longer voyages, and container shortages followed one after another. European buyers turned to Brazil for purchases, East African coffee exports were hit hard, and international coffee prices continued to rise. This article will analyze in detail how the Red Sea crisis has disrupted the global coffee supply chain and discuss its specific impact on coffee-producing regions and consumer markets. [more…]

The war in Ethiopia's Amhara region has lasted for nearly a year and continues to escalate. Firefights between Fano forces and the government's joint forces have advanced to only about 55 kilometers from the capital, Addis Ababa. Fighting is intense around cities such as Gondar, and government troops have failed to achieve expected results on multiple fronts, with increasing defections among riot police and militia. At the same time, millions of students have been out of school, medical facilities have been damaged, and the region's economy has suffered severe losses. As a pillar industry accounting for as much as 30 to 40 percent of export earnings, the coffee sector is facing multiple shocks, including instability in producing areas, traders withdrawing, the Red Sea crisis, and the suspension of operations at Djibouti's ports, making the supply outlook far from optimistic. [more…]

On July 24, the Eritrean side announced that it would suspend all Ethiopian Airlines flights to and from the country starting at the end of September, citing suspected malicious commercial practices. Ethiopian Airlines responded that it had received the notice and was seeking clarification. At the same time, Ethiopia is already facing multiple pressures on its export routes, including the Red Sea crisis, the suspension of operations at Djibouti Port, and tensions between Somalia and Eritrea, severely obstructing the outward shipment of coffee and other goods. This article will sort out the context of this flight suspension incident, analyze its deep impact on Ethiopia's coffee industry and import-export trade, and pay attention to potential fluctuations in the supply chains of producing areas for brands such as Front Street Coffee. [more…]

As a landlocked country, Ethiopia's foreign trade is highly dependent on the Port of Djibouti. Recently, logistics industry organizations from both countries met in Addis Ababa to discuss deepening cooperation, with plans to sign a memorandum of understanding to establish a formal communication mechanism. However, the security situation in the Red Sea region continues to deteriorate, with Houthi armed forces frequently attacking merchant ships. Several shipping companies have announced freight rate increases for November, putting cost pressure on the coffee industry, which relies on maritime transport. The volume and logistics costs of Ethiopia's coffee exports may be affected in the short term, while the conflict in the north of the country is driving up prices and increasing production expenses. This article will review the progress of logistics cooperation, the dynamics of the Red Sea situation, and their potential impact on the coffee trade. [more…]

On October 22, port workers across Brazil launched a 12-hour strike to protest the government's amendments to the Port Law, with about 60,000 employees participating, disrupting loading and unloading at ports throughout Brazil. The strike comes at a critical time for coffee exports; earlier, about 2.15 million bags of coffee had already been stranded at the docks due to port delays, and the strike could make matters worse. Meanwhile, Brazil's coffee-growing regions have entered the rainy season after experiencing severe drought, but the coffee trees have been severely damaged, and production expectations for the next crop season are not optimistic. Caught between port transport and climate problems, the global coffee supply chain faces challenges. [more…]