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Starbucks China Recovery: Costa Coffee Company Information Shift

January 6, 2023
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What does the Starbucks China recovery mean for Costa Coffee company information?

China's easing of COVID-19 restrictions is reviving coffee chains operating there, and Starbucks is the clearest example. Bank of America raised its Starbucks target price from $109 to $125, keeping a buy rating. Starbucks operates more than 6,000 stores in China and plans to open one new store every nine hours over three years, aiming for 9,000 locations.

The broader industry context matters for anyone tracking Costa Coffee company information. Starbucks stock closed at $104.46, up $3.63, with a market value near $119.9 billion and a price-to-earnings ratio of 37.04. The 12-month range ran from $68.39 to $117.05. Coffee knowledge like this helps industry observers read how policy shifts shape chain expansion.

With the optimization and adjustment of China's pandemic prevention policies, the order of production and daily life in various regions is gradually recovering, and economic vitality is being released anew. Foreign-funded enterprises are benefiting from this, and the coffee chain giant Starbucks is a typical example. During the repeated outbreaks of the pandemic, Starbucks' business was significantly impacted, but now, as consumer scenarios return, its stock price is expected to see a new round of gains. Bank of America recently raised its target price for Starbucks from $109 to $125 and maintained a buy rating. Meanwhile, Starbucks has more than 6,000 stores in China and plans to open a new store every 9 hours over the next three years, aiming for 9,000 stores. This article reviews Starbucks' recent performance, its expansion pace in the Chinese market, and analysts' assessments of its prospects, for the reference of coffee enthusiasts and industry observers.

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The global pandemic situation has shown signs of easing in different regions, and China has also introduced new pandemic prevention policies. After the relaxation, the production and daily life order in major domestic cities has gradually returned to normal, and economic vitality has begun to be released anew. This policy optimization has benefited many foreign enterprises operating in China, and the coffee chain giant Starbucks is one of them. Previously, due to repeated pandemic shocks, the company's business was considerably dragged down, but now, with the economic recovery, Starbucks' stock price is expected to usher in a new round of gains.

According to a recent report by foreign media Yahoo Finance, Bank of America (BAC) has raised its target price for Starbucks (SBUX) from $109 to $125 and reaffirmed its buy rating on the stock to start the new year. The latest stock market data shows that Starbucks (SBUX) closed at $104.46, up $3.63 from the previous closing price of $100.83, with a total market value of $119.9 billion and a price-to-earnings ratio of 37.04. The stock's 12-month low was $68.39, and its high was $117.05.

Although affected by the pandemic earlier, Starbucks did not retreat but continued to expand its business. As of the end of the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2022, this Seattle-based coffee chain giant had a total of 35,711 stores worldwide (including company-operated and licensed), an increase of 1,878 from the same period last year. Among them, the number of stores in China was 6,021, an increase of 663 from the same period last year, far higher than the 4,700 at the beginning of the pandemic three years ago. At the same time, Starbucks' global revenue increased by 11% year-on-year, with quarterly revenue reaching a record $8.4 billion.

In the fourth quarter, Starbucks reported earnings per share of $0.81, $0.08 higher than the market consensus estimate of $0.73. Its net profit margin was 10.18%, and its return on equity reached 39.85%. Some research analysts expect Starbucks' average earnings per share for this fiscal year to be $3.41.

It can be seen that Starbucks has maintained fairly strong growth momentum. Starbucks China's delivery sales increased by 35% year-on-year, accounting for 24% of total sales, and mobile orders also accounted for 44% of sales. The number of active members in the Starbucks Rewards program increased by 29% compared with the third quarter, rebounding to more than 17 million, close to a historical high.

At present, Starbucks' expansion in China is still at a relatively early stage. In September 2022, at a global investor conference, Starbucks announced its strategic vision for the next three years, launching a new value-oriented growth plan, heavily increasing its bet on the Chinese market, and is expected by 2025 to have 9,000 stores in China. To achieve this goal, it will need to open a new store in China every 9 hours over the next three years.

This rapid pace of expansion has made Starbucks' operating revenue far more affected than other food service chains such as McDonald's (MCD) and Yum! Brands (YUM). However, Brands (YUM) stated that "Starbucks' operating revenue this year should reach 60% to 70% of pre-pandemic levels and will achieve its long-term goals without question."

Bank of America believes that this optimistic outlook is largely related to China's reopening. There is evidence that people are returning to work, consumers are returning to their pre-COVID behavior patterns, and as population mobility increases, Starbucks' order volume will also rise accordingly.

As more and more Chinese consumers develop the habit of drinking coffee in the morning, Starbucks is gradually regarded in China as an accessible "luxury." In the Chinese market, Starbucks is seen as a foreign competitor; its pricing is lower than coffee brands such as GREYBOX and Peet's, but higher than Costa Coffee, Tim Hortons, and Luckin Coffee. For consumers, this may be just the right price point in between.

Image source: Internet

The above content is compiled by CoffeeHunters, a coffee news website.

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